Kirra seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (March - June)
Autumn and early winter deliver the most consistent combination of quality swell and favourable winds at Kirra. The dominant East and East-Southeast trade-wind swell trains are at their strongest, with average periods climbing from 8.5s in March to 8.9s by June – translating into punchy, rideable waves that wrap beautifully around the point. Meanwhile, the percentage of ideal offshore wind (from South to Southwest) peaks above 60% in April and May, as high-pressure systems settle over the Tasman Sea and funnel clean, light breezes along the coast. This is the sweet spot for long, rippable walls and the occasional pumping day when a deeper low pushes swell heights into the 2m+ range. Expect fun, head-high sets with plenty of barrel potential when the period stretches past 10s.
Fair Surf Season (July - September)
Winter brings a subtle shift: swell heights dip slightly to an average of 0.9m, but the wave period remains solid at 8.5-8.9s, offering powerful, long-period groundswells from the East and Southeast. The ideal wind percentage drops from 56% in July to 38% in September, as more frequent northerly and nor'easterly flows (onshore for Kirra's north-facing orientation) begin to pick up. Still, when the synoptic setup aligns – often after the passage of a cold front – we see clear skies and a stubborn southwesterly stream that grooms the surface to perfection. Those windows can produce glassy, firing conditions on the sets that do wrap in, though the overall consistency takes a hit as spring approaches.
Low Surf Season (October - February)
From spring through summer, Kirra battles the highest frequency of onshores. The ideal wind percentage bottoms out at 33-39%, with northerly and north-northeasterly winds (bad for the spot) dominating the charts – often exceeding 40% of all observations in December and January. Swell periods are at their shortest (7.3-8.0s), meaning the waves are often average, choppy, and lack the power to wrap cleanly. Average heights hover around 1.0m, with the occasional fun-sized day when a tropical cyclone in the Coral Sea sends a pulse of Easterly swell. But more often than not, you are groveling on small, wind-affected lines. The best months inside this low season are February and March transitions, where the wind begins to swing favourable and periods start to climb.
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Conditions at Kirra in October
October: Summer’s Return
October brings the onset of summer patterns. Average swell is 1.0m, but the period bottoms out at 7.4s. The ideal wind percentage is only 34%, the second-lowest of the year. Northerly and north-northeasterly winds rule the rose (N, NNE, NE, NNW combine for over 50%), making for a frustrating month of onshores. Swell direction is heavily East (22.7%) and East-Southeast (19.2%), with a significant increase in North-Northeast (12.8%) and Northeast (10.2%) – these are generally short-period and bad for wave quality. The rare pulse of long-period south or east groundswell can still occur, but the wind is almost always a factor. Most days are small, messy, and groveling. Patience is mandatory.
Average Spot conditions at Kirra in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Kirra during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Kirra for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Kirra for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Kirra.
