Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

La Bocana seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - February)

This is the golden window at La Bocana. The North Pacific high-pressure system strengthens, driving consistent offshore winds from the N, NNE, and NW quadrants. Combined with Southern Hemisphere groundswell arriving from the SSW and S directions, the result is clean, long-period swells (12-13s) wrapping into the bay. Ideal wind percentages hover at 70% in Nov-Dec and remain above 60% through Feb. Expect fun, rippable waves in the 1-1.5m range, with occasional bigger sets. The water is warm, the crowd is manageable, and the conditions are as reliable as it gets.

Fair Surf Season (March - April & July - October)

During spring and fall, the trade wind patterns become more variable. In March and April, the average swell height edges up to 1.2m and periods stretch to 14s, but ideal wind drops to near 57-59%, making for a mix of clean mornings and afternoon onshores. July offers a surprising return of good conditions, with 63% offshore winds and consistent 1.3m S-SSW swell. August through October sees a gradual transition: swell remains solid (1.3-1.4m, 13s), but ideal wind percentages dip to 52-59%. The best sessions come during strong high-pressure setups that lock in northerly flows.

Low Surf Season (May - June & September)

These months represent the trough of wind reliability. While the swell is at its annual peak (1.4m average with periods of 13-14s), ideal offshore winds only blow 52% of the time. The Intertropical Convergence Zone shifts north, increasing humidity and promoting onshore southerly flows that can chop up the surface. However, when a cold front pushes down from the north or a strong high settles in, La Bocana can still deliver powerful, long-period waves – it just requires more patience and careful forecast watching.

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Conditions at La Bocana in January

January: Mid-Winter Bliss

January is prime time at La Bocana. The North Pacific high is well-established, funneling consistent offshore winds from the NNE (30% of all wind, mostly 10-20kph) and N/NW directions. A full 65% of the time you'll find clean offshore conditions. Swell comes predominantly from the SSW (54%) and S (27%), with an average height of 1.0m and a long period of 12.1s. Most waves fall in the 0.5-1.5m range – fun-sized to solid. The combination of long-period groundswell and offshore wind produces lined-up, rippable waves. Occasional larger sets from the SW add variety. If you're looking for consistency, January delivers.

Average Spot conditions at La Bocana in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at La Bocana during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at La Bocana for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at La Bocana for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at La Bocana.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size