Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Latigo Point seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - February)

The winter months at Latigo Point are when the North Pacific roars to life, sending a steady diet of long-period west and southwest swells toward the Southern California coastline. While this south-facing cove sits somewhat sheltered from the full force of the open ocean, the combination of powerful groundswells (averaging 1.0-1.1m with periods of 12-12.4s) and a high frequency of offshore winds from the north quadrant creates the most consistent and high-quality surf of the year. December leads the pack with a whopping 70% of wind conditions being ideal, closely followed by January (67%) and November (65%). During these months, strong extratropical storms spinning down from the Gulf of Alaska generate ample swell energy that wraps into Latigo, and when a high-pressure system sets up over the Great Basin, the resulting northerly flow cleans up the surface beautifully. Expect frequent sessions with clean, shoulder-high waves peeling nicely along the reef.

Fair Surf Season (March, April, October)

As the winter storm track begins to ease and summer patterns start to emerge, the spring and early autumn months offer a mixed bag. March and April still see a decent amount of west and southwest swell (average heights around 1.1-1.2m, periods 11.8-11.9s), but the percentage of favorable offshore winds drops to 45-51%. This means more afternoons get spoiled by onshore sea breezes, though mornings can still be glassy. October marks the transition back into winter, with a noticeable uptick in favorable wind frequency (51%) and the first significant swells of the season. These shoulder months are prime for patient surfers willing to pick their windows – the swell is there, but you often have to work around periods of cross-shore or light onshores.

Low Surf Season (May - September)

Summer and early fall are largely the slow season at Latigo Point. The North Pacific storm machine powers down, resulting in smaller average swell heights (0.9m for most months) and a dramatic shift in wind patterns. The percentage of ideal offshore winds plummets to as low as 24% in June and only climbs back to 42% by September. During this period, the dominant swell directions shift more toward the south and southwest, but the prevailing winds – frequently from the southwest and west – blow directly onshore or cross-shore, chopping up the surface and ruining wave quality. While long-period groundswells from the southern hemisphere can occasionally sneak in (especially in July and August), they are often accompanied by weak, local windswell and thermal breezes that make the surf bumpy and inconsistent. This is the time for small-wave boards and early morning missions before the wind kicks up.

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Conditions at Latigo Point in October

October: Fall Revival Begins

October brings a notable resurgence in surf quality as the autumn storm track activates. Average swell height ticks up to 0.9m, but the average period rises to 12.7s – the longest of the year – indicating more powerful groundswells. The swell direction shifts further westward: WSW (32.0%), SW (29.3%), W (21.4%), and a healthy SSW component (14.0%). The wind quality jumps to 51% ideal, with offshore flows from NNE (8.3%), N (5.3%), NW (5.4%), and NNW (4.3%) becoming more common. This is the time when the first major North Pacific lows spin up, sending long-period, angled west swell into Latigo. When a strong high settles over the interior, the northerly winds groom the waves to perfection, producing clean, chest-high surf with occasional overhead sets. The combination of increasing swell and cleaner winds makes October a prime shoulder month – you can score great waves without the winter crowds.

Average Spot conditions at Latigo Point in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Latigo Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Latigo Point for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Latigo Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Latigo Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size