Lincoln City - surf spot statistics

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Pacific flexes its muscles during these months, as the Aleutian Low cranks up and sends a relentless train of strong extratropical storms towards the Oregon coast. Average swell heights hover between 2.4m and 2.8m, with long-period groundswells in the 12-13 second range dominating the mix. The predominant swell directions from the W and WNW align perfectly with Lincoln City's west-facing beaches, delivering powerful, consistent lines. Offshore winds from the SW and WSW (categorized as ideal here) blow a clean 33-36% of the time, often in the wake of frontal passages. This is prime time for heavy, hollow surf, when the combination of size, period, and wind direction hits its peak. Expect pumping conditions with frequent waves in the 1.5-2.5m range and occasional XXL days.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

These shoulder months are transitional. In April, the storm track begins to weaken, but average swell heights remain a solid 2.1m with periods around 11.6s. Wind patterns become more fickle, with ideal offshore conditions dropping to only 20% of the time as the Aleutian Low starts to retreat and spring breezes from the north kick in. September marks the return of autumn energy: swell heights climb back to 1.5m and periods lengthen to 10.8s. The wind window improves to 27% ideal, but the early-season tropical storms and early extratropical lows can mix in occasional smaller, grovelly days. Both months offer fun, rippable waves when the conditions align, but consistency takes a hit.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

The summer doldrums settle in as the North Pacific high-pressure system dominates, shifting the storm track far to the north. Swell heights drop to a meager 1.3-1.6m, with periods averaging 9.7-10.8s – often lacking punch. The swell direction shifts to more WNW and NW, which still hit the beach but with less power. The real killer is the wind: ideal offshore conditions plummet to 7-14% of the time. The prevailing NNW and N winds blow onshore 40-50% of the time, chopping up the surf and making most days a battle against the breeze. Summer mornings can offer glassy windows, but generally, it's a low-energy season best suited for groveling or taking a break.

August: A Glimmer of Hope

August shows the first signs of recovery. Average swell height remains at 1.3m, but the period nudges up to 10.0s. The swell direction is heavily dominated by WNW (41.6%) and NW (27.6%), with W at 21.7%. While still small, the wave heights show more in the 1-1.5m range (26.9% for WNW). The wind ideal percentage increases to 14% – still low but better than July. Onshore NNW winds (29.8%) and N winds (25.1%) persist, but there are more days with lighter breezes. The early-season transition is starting, offering occasional fun-sized waves on a clean surface. August is a month of anticipation for the fall to come.