Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Lobitos seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (January - April)

The austral summer delivers the most consistent and user-friendly conditions at Lobitos. A dominant South Pacific high-pressure system sits offshore, funnelling a steady stream of long-period SSW and SW swell into the region. While these swells arrive from a less-than-ideal south direction, the north-facing beach at Lobitos manages to capture a well-refracted version of this energy, producing clean, rippable lines. The real star of the show is the wind: the offshore breeze from the south-southeast and south holds steady in the 10-20kph range, resulting in glass-topped peaks over 75% of the time. With average wave heights sitting in the fun 1-1.5m range and periods around 14 seconds, this is prime time for surfers looking for long, groomed walls.

Fair Surf Season (May & December)

May and December act as transitional bookends. The offshore wind consistency drops to around 63%, as the southern hemisphere autumn and spring bring more variability in wind speeds. The swell, however, continues to pulse with powerful SSW groundswells – May sees peak averages of 1.8m at 14 seconds. The arrival of stronger 20-30kph winds from the south-southwest begins to roughen surfaces, especially in May. These months offer a trade-off: excellent swell size for the more experienced surfer, but a higher chance of bumpy conditions. Still, when the lighter windows align, the waves are firing and often more powerful than mid-summer.

Low Surf Season (June - November)

The austral winter and early spring are characterised by the intensification of the Humboldt Current and stronger southeast trade winds. While the average swell height holds steady at 1.7-1.8m and periods remain in the 13-14 second sweet spot, the ideal wind window shrinks dramatically to around 45-50%. The wind is still predominantly offshore from the SSE and S, but it often blows in the 20-30kph range, creating a pronounced windswell chop on top of the groundswell. The swell direction remains stubbornly SSW-SW, so even without the perfect north-angle swell, there is still energy in the water. This season rewards the dedicated surfer willing to fight the wind for powerful, hollow-left peaks at the more sheltered corners of the break. It is not for beginners, but the potential for epic, charging sessions exists when a low-pressure cell sits favourably in the South Pacific.

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Conditions at Lobitos in October

October: Spring Transition, Mixed Bag

October's average swell is 1.7m with a 13.8s period. The SSW component reaches its yearly peak at 90.6% – almost pure south-southwest swell. Wave heights are concentrated in the 1.5-2m (50.6%) and 2-2.5m (14.9%) ranges. The ideal wind window remains low at 46%. The S wind still blows strong (16.5% in 20-30kph) but the SSE wind begins to moderate. The transition from winter to spring brings more variability; some days produce epic conditions with lighter offshore breezes, while others remain choppy. Keep an eye on synoptic charts for a high-pressure ridge that can kill the wind.

Average Spot conditions at Lobitos in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Lobitos during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Lobitos for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Lobitos for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Lobitos.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size