Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Long Sands seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life from October through March, delivering the most consistent and powerful swell to Long Sands. Average wave heights hover between 1.2m and 1.3m, with periods often in the 7.5-7.8s range – punchy and rideable, with plenty of storm-driven pulses pushing through. The wind regime plays heavily in our favor during these months, with dominant flow from the WSW and W blowing directly offshore across the EN-E facing beach. This is prime time – expect clean conditions on the best days thanks to ideal offshore winds blowing 29-37% of the time, funneling in long, grindy lines off the North Sea fetch.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

Spring and early autumn deliver a mixed bag with average swell heights of 1.0m (April) and 0.9m (September) and periods around 7.3s and 6.7s. The North Atlantic storm track begins to weaken, but occasional pulses still sneak through, especially in September when the hurricane-tinged leftovers can add a bit of life. Offshore-friendly winds – WSW and W – are still present roughly 25-30% of the time, though wind directions become more variable. You’ll find sessionable waves, but consistency drops and you’ll need to pick your windows carefully – a solid mid-range SW to W breeze can make all the difference.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer settles in with a whimper at Long Sands. Average wave heights plummet to 0.7-0.9m and periods drop into the 5.9-6.7s range – small, choppy, and often frustrating for anything but a log. The predominant swell shifts to shorter, locally generated windswell from the NNE, a direction that’s actually good for our spot, but the lack of consistent energy from the Atlantic leaves most days in the knee-to-waist fun-size range. Offshore wind frequencies also dip to 22-26%, making clean waves a rare treat. With the long summer days, you can still find a wave if you’re patient – but don’t expect to score anything epic.

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Conditions at Long Sands in October

October: Autumn Surge

October is where it all comes together – average swell height jumps to 1.1m, period to 7.6s, and ideal wind frequency hits 34%. Swell direction is well-rounded with NNE (13.0%), N (7.4%), ENE (8.1%), and E (7.0%) all contributing. The wind pattern reverts to a strong WSW (12.7%) and W (11.5%) bias. Powerful extratropical cyclones track across the North Atlantic, sending consistent groundswell with periods often exceeding 10s. The combination of size, period, and offshore wind creates classic autumn surf – hollow, punchy waves that can handle a shortboard. This is arguably the start of the best season.

Average Spot conditions at Long Sands in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Long Sands during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Long Sands for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Long Sands for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Long Sands.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size