Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Los Patos seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during these months, fueled by a climatological increase in strong extratropical cyclones tracking across the Atlantic. Average swell heights consistently push into the 1.7-1.9m range with long periods (11-13s) – the sweet spot for powerful, punchy waves at Los Patos. The dominant swell direction is NNW, which is right in the optimal window, delivering a high percentage of clean, big-wave days. However, the challenge is the wind: this season also sees a strong prevalence of NE to E winds, which are not offshore. Ideal offshore flow from the S sector is limited to around 26-29% of the time, so timing is crucial. When a high pressure system sets up over the Iberian Peninsula or a low passes far enough north, the stars align for pumping glassy conditions under sunny skies. This is the prime time to score epic, long-period groundswell.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

The transition months of April and September offer a mixed bag. Swell energy is still present, with averages around 1.3-1.6m and periods ranging from 10-11s, providing solid, rippable waves. The swell direction remains predominantly NNW, which is ideal. However, the ideal wind window tightens significantly in April (only 16% offshore) as continental heating begins to drive stronger NE trade winds. In September, the wind situation improves slightly (25% offshore) as summer heat wanes and early autumn storms begin to stir the Atlantic. These months are best for the patient surfer willing to pick days when a weak low pressure system swings through, delivering a brief window of S winds and clean conditions.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summertime at Los Patos is generally small and challenging. The North Atlantic storm track retreats north, leading to a drop in average swell heights to a meager 1.2-1.4m and periods shortening to 8-10s. Swell direction shifts dominantly to NNE – a direction that is not ideal for the spot, producing more wind-affected and less focused waves. What's worse, the wind pattern becomes dominated by strong NE to ENE trade winds (often exceeding 20kph), which are side/onshore for the NNW-facing beach, causing choppy and messy conditions. Ideal offshore winds from the S sector are rare, even in July and August when the percentage is higher (26-34%). However, those rare days with a sea breeze or a passing thermal low can deliver fun-sized, groveling waves for loggers and twin-fins. But for serious surf seeking, summer is best spent on other activities.

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Conditions at Los Patos in May

May: Small Swell and Persistent East Winds

May is the onset of the low season. Average swell height drops further to 1.4m with a period of 9.9s – now entering small surf territory. The dominant swell direction shifts to NNE (32.3%) and NNW (34.2%), with N (19.3%) also notable. While NNW remains present, the increasing NNE component means the swell is less focused on the spot's optimal window. Wave heights are mostly 1-1.5m (groveling) with occasional 1.5-2m sets. The wind situation is grim: only 12% ideal offshore. NE winds dominate at a massive 29.7%, with NNE at 22.0% and ENE at 11.7%. These strong, consistent trades create rough, bumpy conditions on most days. Any clean waves will be rare and fleeting – typically small morning windows with light ESE winds before the trades kick up. It's a month for longboards and low expectations.

Average Spot conditions at Los Patos in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Los Patos during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Los Patos for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Los Patos for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Los Patos.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size