Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Macaronis seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (June - August)

During the peak of the Indonesian dry season, the Southern Hemisphere winter roars to life, delivering the most consistent and powerful swell to Macaronis. Average wave heights climb to a solid 1.6-1.7m with periods averaging 14.2-14.3s, indicating a very powerful, long period groundswell that wraps perfectly into the bay. The trade winds shift to a steady easterly flow, with ideal offshore winds from the E, ENE, NE, and NNE blowing 57-60% of the time. This combination creates pristine, glassy conditions on the famous left-hander, with sets stacking up and offering long, rippable walls. Expect pumping barrels for the experienced crew and a consistent, firing lineup.

Fair Surf Season (May, September, October)

The shoulder months of May, September, and October still see excellent swell generation from Southern Ocean storms. May kicks off the transition with a 1.5m average swell at 13.9s and increasingly favorable wind regimes (54% ideal). September and October begin to ease out of the peak, with average heights around 1.5-1.7m and periods dropping slightly to 13.5-14.1s. Wind ideal percentages remain high at 50-52%, though occasional westerly wind bursts can disrupt conditions. These months offer fun to good waves with plenty of punch, ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers looking for long rides without the peak-season crowds.

Low Surf Season (November - April)

From November through April, the monsoon trough shifts the wind pattern, bringing more frequent and stronger westerly to northwesterly winds that blow directly onshore or cross-shore at Macaronis. Ideal offshore wind drops to just 30-41% of the time. Swell heights average a smaller 1.3m, with periods in the 12.2-13.5s range — still average to powerful but less consistent and more affected by wind chop. Dominant swell directions remain from SSW and SW, but the accompanying onshore winds from the same quarter often ruin the wave face. While occasional swell windows can produce fun-sized waves (1-1.5m) with clean conditions if a high-pressure ridge sets up to the south, the overall reliability is low. March and April see a slight uptick in swell period and ideal wind percentage, offering a glimmer of hope for dedicated surfers willing to gamble on a fickle forecast.

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Conditions at Macaronis in January

January: The Monsoon Lull

January finds Macaronis squarely in the midst of the northwest monsoon. The average swell height is 1.3m with a period of 12.2s, offering average to powerful waves when they arrive. The swell direction is dominated by SSW (46% of all waves) and SW (33.4%), with a notable 9.5% from WSW and W. This ideal directional window is good, but the wind statistics tell a different story: ideal offshore winds from the east-northeast quadrant occur only 30% of the time. The prevailing winds blow from the NW (24.1%) and WNW (20.3%), which are cross-shore to side-onshore, often creating bumpy and choppy conditions on the face. While the long period groundswell can barrel on days when a temporary high-pressure system stalls over Australia, the overall consistency is low. Surfers should be prepared to pick their windows carefully; when it comes together, 1-1.5m fun-sized waves can be found, but don't expect firing perfection.

Average Spot conditions at Macaronis in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Macaronis during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Macaronis for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Macaronis for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Macaronis.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size