Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Manangat seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The northeast monsoon establishes a reliable offshore wind regime from the north quadrant, combining with frequent north-northeast swell to deliver clean, organized surf. While the swell direction is not directly optimal for this southwest-facing beach, refraction and sheltering can wrap the energy into the bay, producing fun to solid waves. Peak months see average swell heights of 1.1-1.2m with periods around 8s, offering punchy, rideable conditions. November stands out with the highest ideal wind frequency (39%) and consistent swell, making it the apex of the season.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

These transitional months bridge the monsoon regimes. April sees a rapid decline in both swell and wind quality, with average heights dropping to 0.5m and periods fading to 5.9s, limiting surf to small, groveling waves on the rare offshore wind day. September revives the south swell window, with increasing SW and WSW swell (44.7% of total), but the wind shifts onshore from the south, reducing quality. Look for windows of northerly wind for clean, fun-sized surf as the ocean transitions.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

The southwest monsoon locks in strong onshore winds from S and SSW, ruining wave quality despite the presence of abundant south swell. During these months, swell from the optimal SW and WSW directions dominates (up to 49.2% in August), with heights averaging 0.8-1.1m and periods in the 6-7s range. However, the persistent onshore flow creates choppy, messy conditions. Only early morning light wind windows or brief shifts to north wind offer short-lived, rideable moments. This is the low season for quality surf at Manangat.

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Conditions at Manangat in September

September: Fading Monsoon, Rising Hopes

As the monsoon begins to retreat, ideal wind improves to 20%. Swell remains substantial: average height 0.9m, period 7.1s, with SW and WSW swell still significant (44.7% combined). However, onshore winds from S and SSW still blow 36% of the time, often moderate to strong. The key change is the increase in north wind (N, NNE, NE) to 15.5% total, offering more frequent clean windows. Look for days with offshore flow to score fun, solid waves up to 1.5m. September marks the beginning of the upswing.

Average Spot conditions at Manangat in September

Swell history for September

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for September

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manangat during September. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manangat for your next trip in September.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manangat for September. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manangat.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size