Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Manazillo Bay seasonal overview

Manzanillo Bay, Mexico, offers consistent surf conditions year-round, with ground swells dominating every month—no wind swell or flat days to worry about. The best months for surfers are typically from November to March, when good wind conditions peak (66-73% favorable) and swell sizes remain manageable (0.9-1.2m), making for clean, rideable waves. Winter months see smaller but more reliable swells, ideal for intermediate surfers. April to September brings larger swells (1.3-1.6m), but wind conditions deteriorate significantly, with onshore winds becoming more frequent (56-83% bad winds). June through August is particularly challenging, with the highest swell energy but the worst wind setups. October marks a transition, with improving winds (62% good) and solid swell size (1.5m), making it a decent shoulder-season option. For the most balanced experience—consistent ground swells, favorable offshore winds, and comfortable swell heights—focus on November through February. Advanced surfers chasing bigger waves might tolerate the less favorable winds in late spring and summer, but overall, winter provides the most user-friendly conditions.

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Conditions at Manazillo Bay in February

February at Manzanillo Bay offers decent surfing conditions with a focus on medium-sized swells and generally favorable winds. The average swell height is 1.0m with a long period of 15.1s, providing powerful, well-spaced waves ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers. Most swells come from the SSW (35.72% at 0.5-1m, 26.88% at 1-1.5m) and SW (22.32% at 0.5-1m, 11.88% at 1-1.5m), generating clean, workable waves. Larger swells (1.5-2m) are rare but possible, primarily from the SSW. Wind conditions are solid, with 60% of the time offering ideal offshore or light cross-shore breezes. The dominant winds come from the ENE to E (13.56-15.46% at 10-20kph), which can occasionally create choppy conditions, but the majority of days remain manageable. Expect reliable surf with good shape and occasional punchy sections, particularly on mid-range SSW swells. Overall, February is a reliable month for surfers who prioritize quality over size.

Average Spot conditions at Manazillo Bay in February

Swell history for February

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for February

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Manazillo Bay during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Manazillo Bay for your next trip in February.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Manazillo Bay for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Manazillo Bay.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size