Manhattan Beach - surf spot statistics

Manhattan Beach, located in Southern California, offers surfable conditions year-round, though the quality and consistency of waves vary significantly by season. The best months for surfing here are typically from late fall through early spring, when ground swells dominate and wind conditions are less unfavorable despite still being challenging. December through March sees the highest percentage of ground swells (54-64%) and the largest mean swell size (0.7-0.9m), with November to February often providing the most consistent surf. However, strong onshore winds (bad wind conditions ranging from 65-70% in winter) can frequently disrupt wave quality. Spring (April-May) and early summer (June) still see a solid ground swell presence (69-80%) but with worsening wind conditions (bad winds up to 75-78%). The summer months (July-September) have the cleanest wind conditions (20-24% good winds) but suffer from smaller swells (0.7m) and a higher reliance on weaker wind swells. October marks a transition period, with improving ground swells (72%) but still inconsistent wind patterns. Overall, winter provides the most power and consistency for experienced surfers willing to battle the wind, while summer offers smaller, cleaner waves suitable for beginners or longboarding. The shoulder months of April-May and October can occasionally deliver good sessions when wind and swell align, but the most reliable surfing window remains November through March despite the frequent wind challenges.

In May, Manhattan Beach offers modest surf conditions with an average swell height of 0.8m and a solid period of 13.7s, indicating relatively clean and well-spaced waves. The swell direction is primarily from the southwest (SSW, SW, WSW, and W), with the majority of waves falling in the 0.5-2m range. SSW swells dominate, contributing the highest frequency of rideable waves, particularly in the 0.5-1m range (41.92%), while W swels bring slightly larger but less frequent waves (10.07% in the 1-1.5m range). Wind conditions are variable, with only about 25% of the time offering ideal offshore or light winds for surfing. The predominant winds come from the west and southwest, often in the 10-30kph range, which can create choppy or cross-shore conditions. Expect smaller, playful waves suitable for longboarders or beginners, with occasional bigger sets when W swells combine with favorable wind conditions. It’s not a high-performance month, but there are enough decent days to make it worth checking.