Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Margara seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October – March)

The North Pacific winter pattern delivers the most consistent swell energy to Margara during this half of the year. Average wave heights range from 1.4m to 1.8m, with periods between 6 and 7 seconds – rideable and punchy. While the dominant swell direction remains ENE (often producing long, weak lines), occasional pulses of north-northeast and even northwest swell wrap into the north-facing beach, offering the best opportunity for lined-up sets. The trade-off comes with wind: offshore breezes from the south to southwest are rare, but the often light cross-shore flow from the east can keep conditions clean when speeds stay under 10-20 kph. October stands out with the highest percentage of ideal wind (52%), making it the prime month for quality.

Fair Surf Season (April, September)

Transition months see a drop in average swell height to around 1.4-1.5m and periods hovering near 6 seconds. The swell angle shifts even more to the ENE, reducing the chance of northwesterly energy. However, lighter wind regimes and a slightly higher frequency of south component winds (up to 48% ideal in September) create some windows of fun, groveling conditions. April’s average height of 1.5m can still produce a few punchy waves when a short-period ENE pulse aligns with light offshore flow.

Low Surf Season (May – August)

Summer brings the smallest and weakest swell of the year to Margara. Average heights drop to 1.2–1.3m with periods of 6.0–6.3s, and the swell direction is almost exclusively from the east-northeast (ENE accounts for 55–77% of all waves). This oblique approach rarely breaks cleanly on the north-facing beach, often resulting in weak, closeout sections. While the wind is ideal 35–49% of the time (mostly light east or southeast winds), the lack of size and poor swell angle makes these months primarily a low-energy period best suited for longboarders or beginners. Only occasional tropical swells or distant low-pressure remnants might briefly elevate conditions.

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Conditions at Margara in May

May: Summer Warm-up, Winter's Ghost

May marks the start of the low season with an average height of 1.3m and period of 6.1 seconds. Swell direction is heavily dominated by ENE (55.4%), with NE (25.3%) and E (9.5%) also present. North-northeast and north contributions shrink to just 7.2% and 1.6%, respectively. The good news is that wind is ideal 47% of the time, up from earlier months. East and southeast winds are common (E 36.6%, ESE 19.6%), and there is a slight increase in south component winds (S, SSW, SW combined around 3%). This can yield clean, small waves for a log or funboard, but the swell is mostly short-period (6.1s) and lacks power. The best chance for a decent wave comes from an unusually strong North Pacific storm that sends a north-northeast energy pulse, but such events are rare in May.

Average Spot conditions at Margara in May

Swell history for May

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for May

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Margara during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Margara for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Margara for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Margara.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size