Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Minutes seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (December - February)

Winter roars to life along the Canadian East Coast as the North Atlantic pumps out consistent, solid swell. From December through February, average wave heights hold steady around 1.7m, with periods averaging 8.7s – that's the sweet spot for punchy, rippable waves. The dominant swell directions tilt heavily toward the SW and SSW quadrants, which are prime angles for this east-facing beach. Offshore winds from the WNW and NW blow around half the time, often aligning with the best swells to create clean, powerful surf. This is when the combination of size and favorable wind is most consistent, delivering pumping sessions for those who can handle the winter chill.

Fair Surf Season (March - May & September - November)

Transition months see a gradual shift in both swell energy and wind patterns. March still kicks with 1.6m averages, but the frequency of ideal offshore winds drops to 48%. April and May see swell heights decline to 1.4m and 1.2m, respectively, while periods shorten – yet the swell window rotates more south, with SSE and S directions becoming increasingly dominant. These are less optimal for the spot but can still produce fun, groveling waves when the wind cooperates. September through November tell a similar story in reverse: swell ramps back up from 1.2m to 1.6m, and the wind steadiness improves slightly (55-61% ideal in Sep-Oct). These months offer a mix of clean days and messy onshore slop, making it a gamble for quality, but the potential for solid, long-period groundswell exists if a strong extratropical storm tracks right.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer brings the smallest surf of the year, with average wave heights hovering around just 1.0m and periods slipping to 7.2-7.7s. The swell is almost entirely from the S and SSW – directions that rarely produce the clean, lined-up waves this east-facing beach craves. However, the trade-off is stellar wind conditions: offshore breezes from SW through NW blow over 65% of the time, especially in July (68%) and August (67%). That means glassy mornings and small, fun-sized waves perfect for longboarding or a grovel session. If you're after size, this is the time to travel; if you're after perfection on a micro-swell, summer can deliver surprisingly clean logs.

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Conditions at Minutes in October

October: Building Momentum

October sees a solid jump in average wave height to 1.4m, with period at 8.2s. The swell window expands further: SW (10.7%) and SSW (14.4%) lead, but SE (12.9%) and SSE (11.2%) also bring a lot of energy. The increase in SE swell is notable – while not optimal, it can still produce waves if the wind is favorable. Ideal wind drops slightly to 55%, but importantly, the offshore directions from WNW (10.3%) and NW (9.1%) become more prominent again, increasing the chances of clean conditions on larger days. This is the month when the first true fall storms develop, often tracking just south of Greenland and aiming long-period SW swell directly at the coast. With an average height of 1.4m and many days exceeding 1.5m, October offers a mix of fun-sized and pumping surf. The wildcard is wind: when a strong high pressure settles over the Maritimes, it can produce clean offshore breezes for days, turning Minutes into a fall gem.

Average Spot conditions at Minutes in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Minutes during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Minutes for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Minutes for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Minutes.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size