Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Morro dos Conventos seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (April - June)

As the South Atlantic high-pressure system begins to weaken and cold fronts from the Southern Ocean push farther north, Morro dos Conventos enters its prime window. During April, May, and June, the average swell height climbs to 1.5-1.6m with periods reaching 9-10 seconds, offering a solid mix of punchy, rippable waves. More importantly, the percentage of offshore winds from the W, WNW, NW, and NNW quadrants peaks at 29-34% — the highest of the year. This combination allows the predominantly east-southeast swell to be groomed by clean offshore breezes, transforming what would otherwise be onshore mush into lined-up, surging walls. Typical winter cold fronts deliver S to SW groundswell that bends around the coast and finds the optimal O or OSO bands, making dawn patrols especially rewarding.

Fair Surf Season (March & July - August)

March and the mid-winter months of July and August represent a transitional period where conditions are inconsistent but can still fire. March sees a decent 27% offshore wind frequency and swell averaging 1.4m with a 9.1s period, offering fun, groveling- to solid-sized waves when the stars align. July and August hold onto an average 1.5-1.6m swell height, but offshore wind percentages drop to 21-28%, and the dominant NE winds become stronger and more persistent. This leads to choppier conditions with shorter-period wind swell mixed in. However, when a strong cold front passes through and swings the winds to the west, the spot can pump with firing, long-period SSW to SW swell that wraps into the bay.

Low Surf Season (September - February)

From early spring through summer, the subtropical high strengthens and settles over the region, suppressing storm activity and steering persistent NE to ENE winds straight down the coast. September through December see offshore wind percentages plummet to just 14-16%, and even though the average swell height remains respectable at 1.4-1.7m, most of this is short-period, onshore wind swell blown out by relentless easterlies. The wave quality is often choppy, mushy, and difficult to ride. January and February are the heart of summer, with smaller average swell (1.3m), shorter periods (8.4-8.6s), and only 20-25% offshore wind windows. While there are occasional fun-size days when a rare south breeze lines up the E swell, the prevailing conditions favor flat spells and crowded, marginal surf.

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Conditions at Morro dos Conventos in October

October: Spring Slop with Occasional Gems

October maintains an average swell of 1.6m (period 8.9s) but offshore wind stays low at 14%. Swell direction is heavily weighted towards E (23.6%) and ESE (17.9%), with a significant ENE component (16.4%). Wave heights are concentrated in the 1-2m range, especially 1-1.5m from E (11.4%) and ESE (8.9%). Persistent NE winds (31.9%) keep the surface bumpy, and the west wind quadrant totals only about 4% – making clean conditions few and far between. October is the tail end of the big swell season, but the combination of strong onshore winds and east swell creates messy, choppy surf for days on end. Patience and a good weather model are essential to catch the rare window.

Average Spot conditions at Morro dos Conventos in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Morro dos Conventos during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Morro dos Conventos for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Morro dos Conventos for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Morro dos Conventos.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size