Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Murtosa seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during the autumn and winter months, delivering consistent, powerful swell to Murtosa's WNW-facing shores. From October through March, deep low-pressure systems track across the North Atlantic, generating long-period waves from the WSW to NW that wrap beautifully into the bay. Average wave heights range from 2.0m to 2.6m with periods averaging 11-13s, often producing pumping conditions. Winter also brings a higher chance of offshore easterly winds, especially from E, ESE, and SE, keeping the faces clean. December and January peak with ideal wind frequencies near 50%, offering the best combination of size and shape.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

Shoulder months like April and September provide a mixed bag. Swell heights drop to around 1.6-1.9m with periods of 10-11s—still rideable but less consistent. The wind becomes more variable, with ideal offshore conditions occurring only 25-29% of the time. Spring and early autumn can still deliver solid days when a late-season storm aligns with a lingering high-pressure system over Europe, producing glassy mornings and fun-sized waves.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

The summer months see a dramatic slowdown in Atlantic storm activity. Average swell heights fall to 1.4-1.5m and periods shorten to 8.5-9.8s, resulting in weaker, mushier surf. The dominant swell direction shifts northwesterly, with NW and NNW pulses providing the most energy, but the wind is problematic: the ideal offshore wind frequency plummets to 9-21%. Instead, strong northerly and north-northwesterly winds (up to 38% of the time in summer) blow directly onshore, chopping up the surf. Occasional small southwesterly swells can offer fun-sized waves if you catch a dawn patrol window before the seabreeze kicks in.

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Conditions at Murtosa in January

January: Peak of the North Atlantic Fury

January is the heart of winter along the Portuguese coast. The average swell height reaches 2.6m with a long-period average of 12.8s, driven by a procession of deep extratropical cyclones across the North Atlantic. The dominant swell directions—WNW (22.1%), NW (17.2%), and W (6.8%)—are perfectly aligned with Murtosa's WNW exposure, delivering powerful, clean lines. Over 30% of the swell comes in the 2-2.5m range, often pumping. Wind conditions are favorable 48% of the time, with offshore flow from E, ESE, and SE (combined ~24%) providing clean surfaces. Light to moderate easterly winds (0-20 kph) are common, but stronger easterlies (20-30 kph) occur less than 1% of the time, so the window for pristine conditions is solid. The only downside is the occasional stormy westerly wind (W, WNW, NW) that can ruin the waves, but when the high pressure positions itself over the Bay of Biscay, expect epic, long-period groundswells with offshore glass.

Average Spot conditions at Murtosa in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Murtosa during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Murtosa for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Murtosa for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Murtosa.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size