Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Newgale seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic delivers its full fury during these months, with average swell heights peaking at 1.6m in January and December and a solid 1.3-1.5m through the rest of the period. Wave periods often hover in the 8-9s range, offering punchy, rideable waves that can turn powerful when the 10-14s groundswells roll in. The dominant swell direction is WSW (25-30% of all swells), which is directly onshore for Newgale's WSW exposure. However, this also means maximum swell energy hits the beach. The catch: winds are predominantly onshore from the SW-WSW quadrant (over 30% of the time), making clean conditions a rare prize. When the high-pressure ridges align and deliver crisp NNE-ENE offshore airflow, expect hollow, lined-up waves with offshore winds grooming the face. The NAO index plays a key role: a strong positive NAO funnels deeper storms, while a negative phase can lock in continental easterlies, creating clean but smaller swell windows.

Fair Surf Season (April, September)

These shoulder months see a dip in average swell height to 0.9-1.0m and periods dropping to 7-8s. The Atlantic storm track starts to migrate north in spring and returns in autumn, offering shorter windows of quality. Swell direction still favours WSW (25-30% of the time), but a higher proportion of NNE and NNW swells appear, bringing variety. The offshore wind percentage improves to 12% in April and remains around 7-8% in September. These months are ideal for logging or a longboard when the conditions align. Spring often brings a mix of leftover winter groundswells and building windswells, while September feels the first whispers of the autumn storm trains.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer settles in with average swell heights bottoming out at 0.8m and periods languishing around 6-7s. The dominant swell direction is overwhelmingly WSW (35-40% of the time), but the energy is mostly short-period windswell from local breeze. The northwest and north swell windows see a slight uptick, but these are mostly weak. The offshore wind window is small: only 5-8% of the time. The prevailing summer winds are from the SW-WSW quadrant, often 10-20kph, creating choppy, messy conditions. The wave heights rarely exceed 1m, and most days fall under the 'micro' to 'small' category. This is a time for beginners or those happy with groveling. Occasional weak long-period swells from the south can produce clean sandbars if a rare high-pressure ridge sets up easterly winds, but those days are few.

Loading chart...

Conditions at Newgale in October

October: The Season Kicks Off

October sees a jump to 1.3m average swell with a period of 7.8s. The swell direction shows a strong return of winter patterns: WSW (24.9%), SW (20.4%), W (9.9%), and SSW (8.7%). The average period of 7.8s still indicates a mix of windswell and groundswell, but the powerful 10-14s swells become more frequent. The offshore wind ideal percentage is 8%, with NNE-ENE winds at 16.2%. The onshore quadrant SSW-W is again strong at 37.1%. This month marks the beginning of consistent swell, though still with a high percentage onshore wind. The key is to target the post-frontal northerly winds that clean up the swell lines. When it all comes together, the waves at Newgale can be firing.

Average Spot conditions at Newgale in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Newgale during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Newgale for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Newgale for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Newgale.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size