Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

New Pier seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

The southern winter is the premium window at New Pier. As the westerly storm track shifts north, powerful, long-period swells from the deep South Atlantic become more frequent, though often with a less-than-ideal southerly component. However, the trade-off is a dramatic increase in offshore wind quality. The percentage of time with ideal wind jumps to 51% in May, peaks at 57% in June, and remains above 50% into July. Frequent SW to WNW breezes groom the open ocean swell, creating clean, lined-up waves. Swell heights average a solid 1.7-1.8m with periods often exceeding 10 seconds, pushing the surf into the pumping category on the best days. If you can catch a combo of E/ESE swell and a stiff westerly, prepare for some of the most rippable, fun-sized to solid waves of the year.

Fair Surf Season (March - April & September - November)

Shoulder seasons offer a mixed bag. March and April see the transition out of summer with average swell heights still around 1.7m and periods lengthening to 10 seconds. Wind consistency improves, with ideal conditions around 31-38% of the time. September and October experience the opposite – the start of the wind shift with more variable directions. While powerful S and SSE swells still roll in (1.8m avg height), the wind window is tighter, dropping to 35% in Sept and 28% in Oct. You'll have to be selective, but when a cold front clears the air and a W to NW wind sets in, the resulting surf can be well worth the wait. The key is patience – these months deliver quality over quantity.

Low Surf Season (December - February)

Austral summer is the slowest period for New Pier. The average swell height dips to 1.6m, and periods drop below 9 seconds, resulting in a lot of average, choppy, and inconsistent days. The real killer is the wind. The South Indian Ocean subtropical high strengthens, pumping persistent NE to ENE winds straight onshore (up to 20% of the time from NE alone in January). These onshore flows ruin the wave quality, making the surf sectiony and bumpy. Ideal wind conditions bottom out at 26-27% of the time. While the occasional E swell can produce fun-sized, rippable surf, the overall picture is small and messy. It is a fine time for a travel elsewhere, but for the dedicated local, dawn patrol on a light offshore will still yield some groveling waves.

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Conditions at New Pier in February

February: Signs of Transition

February remains firmly in the low season, though the average wave period ticks up slightly to 9.4s, hinting at a slow shift. Swell heights average 1.6m, with the dominant directions again E (23.7%) and ESE (24.2%). SE swell (19.3%) continues to wrap in, providing an inconsistent mix. Wind patterns are similar to January, with NE (19.8%) and ENE (14.8%) onshore flow still prevalent. However, there is a slight uptick in offshore wind frequency, with SW (6.6%) and WSW (1.6%) winds appearing more often. Overall, ideal wind sits at 27%. The best window is during a strong SW wind that cleans up the E/ESE swell, producing solid 1.5-2m waves with a bit more power. Still, the overall consistency is low, and the all-day onshore winds make for a challenging forecast.

Average Spot conditions at New Pier in February

Swell history for February

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for February

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at New Pier during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at New Pier for your next trip in February.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at New Pier for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at New Pier.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size