Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Oscar Point seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (March)

March stands out as the most favorable month at Oscar Point, offering a rare combination of solid swell and the highest likelihood of offshore winds. The South Pacific storm track delivers a steady diet of SSW and SW groundswells averaging 1.6m with a long period of 13.5s, providing powerful, well-shaped lines off the southern reef. While winds are dominantly onshore from the S-SSW direction, a slight uptick in N to NNE breezes occurs 6% of the time, cleaning up the faces and creating momentary windows of perfection. This is the month to watch for short-lived but epic sessions when the stars align.

Fair Surf Season (February, April, November)

These shoulder months offer a mixed bag. February sees similar swell quality to March (1.5m, 13.1s) with 4% offshore wind chances, making it a decent backup. April boasts the largest average swell of the year at 1.7m and a deep 13.6s period, but ideal wind drops to 2%, so waves often arrive with a lumpy, onshore texture from the prevailing S-SSW airflow. November still pumps consistent SSW swell (1.6m, 13.0s) but offshore wind is virtually non-existent (0%), limiting quality to early mornings when the seabreeze hasn't kicked in.

Low Surf Season (May - October, December - January)

This extended period is dominated by strong, persistent onshore winds from the south and southwest, blowing directly into this SSW-facing beach. From May through October, average swell heights reach their annual peak (1.8-1.9m) with periods of 12.8-13.6s – the Southern Hemisphere winter roars to life. However, ideal offshore wind occurs less than 1% of the time, meaning the vast majority of days are characterized by choppy, wind-affected conditions (WSW swell is minimal, but onshore winds shred the wave face). December and January see slightly smaller swell (1.4-1.5m) and wind patterns that are only marginally better – a rare N or NNE breeze may appear 1% of the time, but typically the onshore flow wins. For the dedicated surfer, patience and a sharp eye on high-pressure systems that can bring light north winds are essential; otherwise, the spot remains a high-performance challenge only when nature cooperates.

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Conditions at Oscar Point in January

January: High Summer Slop

January delivers average swell heights of 1.4m with a long period of 13.0s – mostly from the SSW (71.3%) and SW (27.5%). This translates to fun-to-good waves in the 1-2m range, offering solid, rippable walls. However, the wind is the spoiler: ideal offshore conditions (N to NNE) occur only 1% of the time. The dominant air flow is from the S (22.2%), SSW (37.6%), and SW (26.0%) – all directly onshore for this SSW-facing beach. Light winds under 10kph make up the bulk, but the direction is wrong. Result: messy, lumpy surf most days, with the occasional glassy window when a high-pressure ridge slides over and pulls in a light north breeze. For the patient surfer, dawn patrol offers the best chance before the seabreeze builds.

Average Spot conditions at Oscar Point in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Oscar Point during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Oscar Point for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Oscar Point for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Oscar Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size