Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Outer Kom seasonal overview

Outer Kom in South Africa is a consistent year-round surf spot with a strong dominance of ground swells, which make up the majority of the swell activity, rarely dropping below 75% in any month. The mean swell size is solid throughout the year, starting at 2.5m in January and gradually increasing to peak in July at 3.3m before tapering off again toward December. The best months for surfers seeking larger, well-formed swells are from May to August, where the average swell height exceeds 2.9m, with July offering the biggest waves. However, wind conditions are a limiting factor, as bad winds (onshore or cross-shore) dominate the entire year, with good offshore winds occurring only 10-20% of the time. The least unfavorable wind conditions are found from April to July, where good wind days reach up to 20%, with May standing out as the month with the best balance between swell size and slightly more manageable winds. If you're willing to tolerate challenging winds, the winter months (May-August) provide the most powerful and consistent surf. Conversely, the summer months (December-February) have smaller swells and even worse wind conditions, making them less ideal for high-performance surfing but still surfable for those looking for more mellow waves. Overall, advanced surfers should target the mid-year window for the best combination of swell size and slightly improved wind percentages.

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Conditions at Outer Kom in November

November at Outer Kom delivers solid surf conditions with an average swell height of 2.6m and a healthy 11.6s period, indicating powerful, well-spaced waves. The swell is predominantly from the SW (29.5% of the time with waves over 1.5m, peaking in the 2-2.5m range at 15.5%) and SSW (8.6% over 1.5m), offering consistent, quality waves with good energy. Cross-shore winds (E/ESE/SE) are present but only 11% of the time are they ideal offshore (light W/NW), while onshore SE winds (20.3% of days) can occasionally degrade conditions. Expect punchy, overhead waves with occasional larger sets—best suited for experienced surfers who can handle powerful beach breaks. Wind stability is the limiting factor, so watch for rare NW wind windows for premium sessions.

Average Spot conditions at Outer Kom in November

Swell history for November

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for November

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Outer Kom during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Outer Kom for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Outer Kom for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Outer Kom.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size