Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Patos seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life as autumn deepens into winter, delivering consistent, powerful groundswell to Patos. Average swell heights range from 1.3m in October to 1.8m in January, with long periods of 11-13 seconds offering punchy, well-organized waves. The dominant swell directions of WNW, NW, and W align perfectly with the spot's NNW exposure, while offshore winds from the S to SW quadrant blow cleanly over the beach 37-43% of the time. This is prime time for pumping, firing surf, with frequent 1.5-2.5m sets and occasional XL waves when strong Atlantic storms line up. The combination of long-period energy and favorable wind is the recipe for Patos at its best.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

Transition months bring a noticeable drop in average swell height to 1.3m in April and 1.0m in September, with periods averaging 11.0s and 10.5s respectively. Despite the smaller size, the quality remains high when conditions align. WNW and NW swells still dominate, but the frequency of offshore winds decreases to around 30-31%. Clean, rippable waves in the 1-1.5m range are common, and occasional pulses from late-season storms can deliver fun-sized surf. These months are a mixed bag, but patient surfers are rewarded with glassy mornings and manageable crowds.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer settles in with a pronounced lull in swell energy. Average wave heights drop to 0.8-1.0m and periods shorten to 8.7-9.9s, resulting in weaker, more wind-affected conditions. The predominant swell still comes from the NW quadrant, but large percentages of small, choppy surf (<1m) dominate. Offshore wind occurrence plummets to 17-25%, as the prevailing synoptic pattern brings more onshore winds from the N and NW. When a rare summer storm track delivers a pulse of W or SW swell, the offshore S winds can align for brief windows of clean, fun-sized surf. But for the most part, expect groveling conditions—a time for longboards and low expectations.

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Conditions at Patos in January

January: Deep Winter Power

January is the heart of the surf season at Patos. The North Atlantic is cranking, producing an average swell height of 1.8m with a long period of 12.9s. Over 80% of the swell comes from the optimal NW quadrant (WNW 31.5%, W 18.2%, NW 15.3%), ensuring that most waves wrap directly into the beach with authority. Offshore winds from the S to SW quadrant blow cleanly 40% of the time, often driven by high pressure over the Bay of Biscay. This combination yields frequent pumping sets in the 1.5-2.5m range—solid, heavy, and firing. However, when low pressure stalls to the north, onshore winds from the N and NW can wreak havoc, turning the lineup into a messy, choppy mess. Catch a day with offshore flow and long-period WNW swell, and you'll experience some of the best waves of the year.

Average Spot conditions at Patos in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Patos during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Patos for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Patos for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Patos.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size