Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Perkins seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

Winter lows march across the North Atlantic, firing up the swell machine for Perkins. The beach's ENE exposure means it's primed to capture long-period groundswell from NE through ESE, with average heights climbing to 0.8-1.0m and periods averaging 8.2-8.6s – rideable, punchy fun. But here's the rub: the dominant wind regime shifts onshore from the east as often as not, with ideal offshore flow from SW-WNW only clocking in 10-16% of the time. You'll need to pick your windows carefully, typically ahead of cold fronts when winds clock westerly.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

Spring and fall transitions offer a mixed bag. April sees a slight drop in average height to 0.8m, but swell from the east still dominates (28% E, 20.6% ENE). Wind is just as fickle, with ideal offshore conditions a mere 13%. September brings a jump in average period to 9.0s – that's the first taste of long-period groundswell from tropical systems and early winter storms. Yet, easterly winds still plague the lineup, keeping the quality inconsistent. These months are for the patient surfer willing to wait for a light offshore breeze.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer settles in and the North Pacific and Atlantic become sleepy. Average swell heights drop to a meager 0.5-0.7m, with periods hovering around 7.6-8.1s. Most of the energy is short-period, windswell from the east, barely pushing the 1m mark. To make matters worse, the prevailing easterly trade winds blow onshore almost constantly – ideal offshore winds are a rare 8-11%. The waves become small, soft, and often choppy. This is groveler territory, best suited for longboards and foils when a weak tropical swell sneaks in. Unless you enjoy micro-sessions, plan your trip for the winter half of the year.

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Conditions at Perkins in July

July: Still Flat, But Periods Tease

July remains in the summer slump, but there's a glimmer: average period nudges up to 8.0s, suggesting a few longer-period pulses from tropical storms. However, average swell height stays at 0.5m. East-southeast swells explode (44.7% from ESE, 36.6% from E), but the vast majority are under 0.5m (28.1% from ESE). The 1m+ category is almost non-existent (0.3% from ENE in the 1-1.5m range). Offshore wind is a scant 9% – the second worst of the year – with persistent onshore trades from the ESE through SSE directions (over 38%). Unless a hurricane swirls into the Bahamas, you're looking at tiny, wind-creased waves.

Average Spot conditions at Perkins in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Perkins during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Perkins for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Perkins for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Perkins.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size