Pine Trees seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (November - March)
The North Pacific winter machine roars to life, delivering consistent, long-period groundswell to this exposed west-southwest beach. Average swell heights hover around 1.0-1.2m with periods averaging 13.3-13.5s, providing powerful, rideable waves. The favorable offshore wind regime from the NNE to E quadrant blows clean roughly 28-29% of the time, thanks to strong high-pressure systems over the interior. Keep an eye on the NAO and local pressure gradients: a negative NAO often funnels more NW swell into the islands, and when the wind aligns, Pine Trees truly shines.
Fair Surf Season (April - May & October)
Transitional months where the swell pulse weakens slightly but the ocean still offers fun, rippable waves. April sees average swell of 0.9m with periods still long (13.8s) as southern hemisphere groundswell mix with the tail end of winter energy. Wind consistency drops to 20% ideal in April and 14% in May as the thermal trough sets up, bringing afternoon onshore flow. October marks the return of winter swells with average heights at 0.9m and periods steadily climbing, while the wind picks up to 19% ideal. These months require patience and strategic timing to score the best conditions.
Low Surf Season (June - September)
Summer settles in, bringing a drastic shift to small, wind-affected surf. Average swell heights bottom out at 0.8m, with a heavy dominance of short-period southern hemi windswell (S, SSE). The persistent trade wind regime (WSW, SW) blows onshore more than 70% of the time, reducing ideal wind to a mere 5-12%. Waves are often small, groveling and messy, making it the least reliable period for quality surf at Pine Trees. However, occasional tropical storms or southern hemi pulses can provide brief windows of fun-sized waves, so stay tuned to the forecast.
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Conditions at Pine Trees in January
January: Winter Groundswell Peak
The North Pacific delivers its most consistent and powerful swell of the year. The average wave height sits at a solid 1.2m with a lengthy period of 13.4s, meaning clean, lined-up sets. Swell direction is dominated by WNW (47.1%) and W (13.7%) - both are excellent for this west-southwest facing beach. Wind is ideal 28% of the time, with offshore directions (NNE through E) blowing light to moderate. The trade wind influence is there, but winter high pressure often locks in clean morning conditions. This is prime time to score pumping, firing waves when the conditions align.
Average Spot conditions at Pine Trees in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Pine Trees during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Pine Trees for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Pine Trees for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Pine Trees.
