Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Playa Zicatela seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (June - September)

The heart of the Zicatela season aligns with the Northern Hemisphere summer, when the south Pacific storm track drives consistent, powerful SSW-to-SW groundswell. Average wave heights hover around 1.6-1.7m and periods remain long (13+ seconds), producing pumping sets that unload on the Mexican coastline. Crucially, the regional wind regime turns favorable — the Tehuantepec gap winds weaken in this period, allowing a higher percentage of offshore flow from the north and northeast. This translates to clean, groomed waves with minimal chop. Ideal wind frequency peaks at 42% in July and August, meaning nearly half the days offer glassy conditions. If you’re chasing the classic Zicatela wedge with shape and power, this window delivers the best blend of size and smooth surfaces.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & October - November)

Shoulder months bring a trade-off: swell energy remains robust, especially in April and May when the average height climbs to 1.5-1.6m and periods stretch to 14+ seconds. However, the wind often fights back. April sees ideal offshore flow only 9% of the time, with onshore WSW and W winds dominating over 40% of the month. This creates bumpy or wind-chopped conditions, though the underlying power remains. October and November offer a slight uptick in favorable wind (33-35% ideal), combined with still-solid 1.3-1.5m averages. These months are for the patient surfer — pick the clean windows and you’ll be rewarded with long-period SSW swell, but be prepared to sit out more onshore days than in peak season.

Low Surf Season (December - March)

Winter’s grip on the Pacific’s southern hemisphere storm tracks weakens, and Zicatela feels it. Average swell heights drop to 1.1-1.2m, and although the long-period characteristics persist (13-13.6s), the consistent fun-sized and small days increase. The wind picture is mixed: strong offshore flow from the north is common (December and January have 31% and 27% ideal conditions, respectively), but when the swell is small, even clean waves struggle to offer more than groveling conditions. February and March see a further decline in ideal wind (21% and 13%) as the westerly quadrant picks up, spoiling the wave face. This season is best suited for loggers, beginners, or those looking to avoid the crowds — but real pumping Zicatela is on hold.

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Conditions at Playa Zicatela in March

March: Building Size, Fading Offshore

March sees a jump in average swell height to 1.4m, with periods holding at 13.6s. The SSW direction dominates even more, offering 48.7% of total swell energy, with 37% of that in the 1-1.5m range and 9% in the 1.5-2m pumping category. SW contributes another 24.5%. The wave quality improves in terms of raw power, but wind starts to become a limiting factor. Ideal wind plummets to just 13% — the lowest of the year. Onshore winds from the W (15.2%), WSW (12.5%), and even SW (7.1%) dominate the afternoon. The northwesterly quadrant (WNW 23.2%, NW 14.5%) still offers clean spells, but they occur less frequently. March is a month of high potential but low consistency. You need to track synoptic patterns — cold fronts pushing through the Gulf of Mexico can strengthen the north wind temporarily, creating excellent offshore conditions alongside building SW swell. Those rare days are pure Zicatela magic.

Average Spot conditions at Playa Zicatela in March

Swell history for March

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for March

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Playa Zicatela during March. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Playa Zicatela for your next trip in March.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Playa Zicatela for March. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Playa Zicatela.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size