Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Raglan seasonal overview

Raglan, New Zealand, is a world-renowned surf destination known for its consistent ground swells and long left-hand point breaks. The data reveals that the spot enjoys reliable swell year-round, with ground swell dominating (75-87%), complemented by minor wind swell contributions. The best months for surfing in Raglan are typically from March through August, when swell consistency and size peak. March stands out with 87% ground swell, an average size of 1.8m, and relatively better wind conditions (24% favorable). Winter months (May-August) offer the largest waves, averaging 2.2-2.3m, but come with higher chances of unfavorable winds (79-82% bad conditions). Autumn (March-May) strikes a balance between solid swell (1.8-2.2m) and marginally better winds compared to winter. In contrast, summer months (December-February) see slightly smaller swells (1.6-1.8m) but suffer from poor wind conditions (75-85% unfavorable). September-November sees consistent swell size (2.0-2.3m), but wind conditions deteriorate further (85-87% bad). For advanced surfers seeking powerful, clean waves, late autumn to winter (May-August) is ideal despite challenging winds, while intermediates might prefer the shoulder months of March-April when winds are slightly less troublesome and swells remain strong.

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Conditions at Raglan in January

In January, Raglan offers decent surf conditions with an average swell height of 1.7m and a solid 12.0s period, providing good energy for quality waves. The dominant swell direction is from the WSW, contributing the highest percentage of waves in the 1-2.5m range, ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers. However, winds are only favorable 20% of the time, with onshore (SW, WSW) and cross-shore (W, NW) winds being more prevalent, which can create choppy conditions. Light offshore winds from ENE to E occur occasionally but are less frequent. Expect mid-sized, well-period swells, but variable wind conditions—best surfed early mornings or when winds are light. Not a prime month, but still surfable with patience.

Average Spot conditions at Raglan in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Raglan during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Raglan for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Raglan for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Raglan.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size