Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Raglan seasonal overview

Raglan, New Zealand, is a world-renowned surf destination known for its consistent ground swells and long left-hand point breaks. The data reveals that the spot enjoys reliable swell year-round, with ground swell dominating (75-87%), complemented by minor wind swell contributions. The best months for surfing in Raglan are typically from March through August, when swell consistency and size peak. March stands out with 87% ground swell, an average size of 1.8m, and relatively better wind conditions (24% favorable). Winter months (May-August) offer the largest waves, averaging 2.2-2.3m, but come with higher chances of unfavorable winds (79-82% bad conditions). Autumn (March-May) strikes a balance between solid swell (1.8-2.2m) and marginally better winds compared to winter. In contrast, summer months (December-February) see slightly smaller swells (1.6-1.8m) but suffer from poor wind conditions (75-85% unfavorable). September-November sees consistent swell size (2.0-2.3m), but wind conditions deteriorate further (85-87% bad). For advanced surfers seeking powerful, clean waves, late autumn to winter (May-August) is ideal despite challenging winds, while intermediates might prefer the shoulder months of March-April when winds are slightly less troublesome and swells remain strong.

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Conditions at Raglan in July

July at Raglan delivers solid winter surf conditions with a mean swell height of 2.3m and a healthy 12.4s period, ensuring powerful, well-spaced waves. The swell direction is predominantly from the WSW (16.33% at 1-1.5m, 17.61% at 1.5-2m, and 12.70% at 2-2.5m), generating clean, rideable waves with good energy. Secondary contributions come from SW and W directions, adding consistency. Wind conditions are less favorable on average, with only 19% of days offering ideal offshore or light cross-shore winds (predominantly ENE to ESE). However, stronger onshore winds from SW to WNW are common (20-30kph range), which can create choppy conditions. The spot handles larger swells well, but surfers should watch for W-WSW winds above 20kph, which make up a significant portion of the month. Overall, expect powerful, mid-sized to large waves with occasional clean windows—best suited for experienced surfers.

Average Spot conditions at Raglan in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Raglan during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Raglan for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Raglan for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Raglan.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size