Raglan - surf spot statistics

Raglan, New Zealand, is a world-renowned surf destination known for its consistent ground swells and long left-hand point breaks. The data reveals that the spot enjoys reliable swell year-round, with ground swell dominating (75-87%), complemented by minor wind swell contributions. The best months for surfing in Raglan are typically from March through August, when swell consistency and size peak. March stands out with 87% ground swell, an average size of 1.8m, and relatively better wind conditions (24% favorable). Winter months (May-August) offer the largest waves, averaging 2.2-2.3m, but come with higher chances of unfavorable winds (79-82% bad conditions). Autumn (March-May) strikes a balance between solid swell (1.8-2.2m) and marginally better winds compared to winter. In contrast, summer months (December-February) see slightly smaller swells (1.6-1.8m) but suffer from poor wind conditions (75-85% unfavorable). September-November sees consistent swell size (2.0-2.3m), but wind conditions deteriorate further (85-87% bad). For advanced surfers seeking powerful, clean waves, late autumn to winter (May-August) is ideal despite challenging winds, while intermediates might prefer the shoulder months of March-April when winds are slightly less troublesome and swells remain strong.

October in Raglan delivers consistent surf with an average swell height of 2.3m and a solid 12.6s period, ensuring powerful, well-spaced waves. The dominant swell direction is from the WSW, contributing the highest percentage of rideable waves, particularly in the 1.5–2.5m range (over 35% combined). This direction aligns well with the break, offering clean, peeling walls ideal for performance surfing or longer rides. Smaller swells from the WNW and SW also add variety, though they’re less consistent. Wind conditions are the main limiting factor—only 13% of the time are they ideal (light offshore or cross-offshore). WSW and SW winds prevail, often blowing at 20–40kph (25%+ of the time), which can create choppy or semi-messed-up conditions. However, early mornings or sheltered sections may still work. Expect heavier swells (over 2.5m) around 2% of the time, providing opportunities for advanced surfers. In summary: solid swell consistency and quality, but wind compromises perfection frequently—patience and timing are key.