Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Reef seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic winter machine is in full swing from October through March, delivering consistent, powerful swell to this west-facing reef. Average wave heights range from 2.0 to 2.6m with periods often exceeding 12 seconds, providing the long-period, pumping surf this spot is known for. While wind conditions are not always perfect, the percentage of ideal offshore flow from the WNW, W, WSW, and SW quadrants climbs above 20%, with December peaking at 25%. When a strong low-pressure system spins up in the North Atlantic and we get a clean breeze from these directions, the reef absolutely fires.

Fair Surf Season (April, May, September)

Transition months bring a mix of leftover winter energy and the first hints of summer. Swell heights average between 1.6 and 2.0m, with periods dropping to the 10-11 second range. The wind becomes less reliable, with ideal conditions occurring only 10-14% of the time. Still, occasional groundswell from late-season storms can light up the spot, especially in September when the Atlantic starts to stir again.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer settles in with a marked drop in swell energy. Average heights hover around 1.4-1.5m, periods in the 8-9 second range, and ideal wind conditions drop to a meager 3-6% of the time. Dominant north/northwest winds keep the spot often choppy and onshore. However, if you catch a rare WNW or W breeze during a small northwest swell, the waves can clean up for some rippable summer fun.

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Conditions at Reef in October

October: Winter Awakening

October roars to life with the full winter engine kicking in. Average swell height jumps to 2.0m and period to 11.4s, delivering powerful, long-period groundswell. Swell direction is well-distributed among NW (30.6%), WNW (18.6%), and NNW (19.5%), all prime angles for the reef. The wind is ideal 22% of the time, with a balanced regime of northwesterly and northerly winds (N at 21.4%, NNE 10.5%) but also increased westerly components. As strong lows spin up in the Atlantic and the NAO index turns negative, we often see stretches of clean offshore flow from the west quadrants. This is when the reef really starts to produce world-class waves.

Average Spot conditions at Reef in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Reef during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Reef for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Reef for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Reef.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size