San Augustin seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (July - October)
The heart of summer and early fall delivers the most consistent and high-quality surf at San Augustin. The Pacific storm track shifts, and we see a climatological uptick in powerful, long-period SSW and S swell trains marching straight into this south-facing beach. Average wave heights hover in the 1.6m range, with periods frequently stretching past 13 seconds – that's powerful and punchy stuff. Critically, the percentage of ideal offshore wind (N, NNE, NE, NNW) peaks during these months, often exceeding 55% and hitting 62% in July. This combination of consistent, well-aligned swell and clean, offshore breezes creates firing conditions that can rival any point in Mexico. While the occasional tropical disturbance can add extra juice, the reliable groundswell is the main draw.
Fair Surf Season (November - January & April - June)
The shoulder seasons bring a mix of quality and trade-offs. In late fall and early winter (November-January), the North Pacific kicks into high gear, sending NE and ENE swell into the region. While this swell doesn't align perfectly with the south-facing beach – it can still produce rideable, often fun-sized waves (0.5-1.5m) particularly when the wind is clean. Offshore wind frequency remains solid (59-62%), but the swell direction is less than ideal, so you have to pick your moments. The spring months (April-June) flip the script: the swell direction improves dramatically, with SSW and S accounting for over 85% of the energy, and wave periods climbing above 13 seconds. However, the wind patterns become more fickle, with ideal offshore rates dropping to 45-52%. This means you'll often need a northerly breeze early in the day to score the best quality, but when it all lines up, the waves can be absolutely world-class.
Low Surf Season (February - March)
The late winter and early spring lull is the quietest period for San Augustin. Although the average swell height holds steady around 1.5m and periods are still long (12-13 seconds), the split in swell direction hurts consistency. A significant portion of the energy comes from the NE and ENE quadrant – which wraps in with less power and form on this south-oriented beach. Simultaneously, the wind patterns become less reliable for surfers: the percentage of ideal offshore wind drops to 47-53%, while onshore and cross-shore winds from the WSW, W, and SW increase their grip. This often leads to bumpy, lumpy conditions, especially in the afternoon. The result is a season of frustrating potential – the swell is there, but waiting for a clean window becomes a game of patience. March is particularly tricky as the trade winds strengthen. Still, keen surfers can find the odd morning glass-off when a winter swell lines up right.
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Conditions at San Augustin in January
January: Winter's Mixed Bag
January kicks off with a split swell regime. The average wave height is 1.4m with an average period of 11.0s – solid, rideable waves. The swell direction tells a tale of two coasts: NE (22%) and ENE (13%) from North Pacific storms dominate, but we also get a healthy dose of SSW (22.5%) and S (13%) from the Southern Hemisphere. For our south-facing beach, the S and SSW swell is optimal, wrapping in cleanly, while the NE energy arrives at a poor angle and tends to be weaker. Wave heights from these optimal directions mostly fall in the 1-1.5m fun-sized range, with some 0.5-1m days. Wind is ideal 59% of the time, with a nice mix of light offshore NW, NNW, and N breezes (mostly 0-10kph). However, there is also a notable presence of W (9%) and WSW (6%) winds that can ruin the surface. The best bet is to chase early morning windows with a land breeze before the onshore flow develops. Expect average, punchy conditions on the best days, but the swell combo can be frustrating.
Average Spot conditions at San Augustin in January
Swell history for January
Wind history for January
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at San Augustin during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at San Augustin for your next trip in January.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at San Augustin for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at San Augustin.
