Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Santa Rosa seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (December - April)

The austral summer brings the most consistent and powerful swell to Santa Rosa. As the South Pacific storm track shifts south, a steady stream of groundswells arrives from the SSW and SW quadrants, often with periods in the 10-14s range and heights averaging 1.5-1.7m. The average swell direction aligns perfectly with the beach's WSW exposure, delivering punchy, well-organized lines. However, the wind remains a challenge: the dominant S/SSW flow creates onshore or cross-shore conditions the vast majority of the time. Still, when the wind briefly backs off or shifts to a light easterly breeze — a rare occurrence (<5% of the time) — the waves clean up into rippable, fun-sized surf. This window, though narrow, offers the best chance for glassy sessions with moderate offshore texture.

Fair Surf Season (May & November)

May and November represent transitional months. Swell heights remain respectable (1.6-1.8m on average) and periods hold in the 13s range, but the wind patterns begin to shift. In May, the S/SSW wind becomes stronger and more persistent, pushing the 'ideal wind' percentage to nearly zero. November sees a slight increase in lighter wind events but still no substantial offshore flow. These months can deliver solid, powerful surf — especially around the new and full moons when the swell energy peaks — but you'll be battling textured, sometimes choppy conditions. Only the most dedicated are rewarded with clean, rideable waves when the wind aligns just right.

Low Surf Season (June - October)

The austral winter is the low season for surf quality at Santa Rosa. From June through October, the South Pacific storm belt is at its strongest, producing a consistent run of long-period SSW and S swells that average 1.8-1.9m with periods around 13s. This is the peak in raw swell energy — many days offer pumping, heavy wave heights in the 1.5-2.5m range. But the catch is the wind: a persistent, often strong S/SSW flow slams directly into the beach, creating onshore, choppy, messy conditions that blow out the wave faces. The 'ideal wind' percentage drops to a flat 0% in most months. While there are occasional lulls or slight directional shifts, the default state is blown-out, textured surf. Only the most wave-starved or well-protected breaks will offer anything clean. This is the time to be chasing sheltered points or taking a breather.

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Conditions at Santa Rosa in July

July: Big South Swells, Onshore Grind

July holds the average swell height at 1.9m but the period drops slightly to 12.8s, still in the powerful long-period range. The S contribution increases to 17.6%, while SSW remains dominant at 70.1%. The height distribution shifts: 9.4% in the 1.5-2m range and 6.2% in 2-2.5m, with over 2.5m appearing (0.1%). Many days offer pumping, heavy surf. Wind patterns are nearly identical to June: S (45.4%) and SSW (48.1%) dominate, with speeds in the 10-20kph band being the most common. The percentage of ideal wind remains 0%. Expect big, powerful waves with a continuous onshore chop. A wetsuit and a tolerance for texture are required.

Average Spot conditions at Santa Rosa in July

Swell history for July

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for July

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Santa Rosa during July. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Santa Rosa for your next trip in July.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Santa Rosa for July. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Santa Rosa.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size