Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Serapo seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The heart of the North Atlantic storm track aligns with Serapo's optimal swell window during these months, as powerful extratropical lows spin across the basin. The average swell height hovers around 0.8m with periods occasionally stretching into the 6-9s range, providing punchy, rideable waves. The offshore wind window from N, NNO, NO, and NNW is most reliable, hitting 33-39% of the time in peak winter. Southwest to SSW swells filter into the bight, wrapping onto the sandbars. When a deep low passes and the pressure gradient tightens, we see pulses of 1-1.5m swell with longer periods – that's when Serapo truly fires. The NAO plays a key role: a negative phase pushes the storm track south, showering the Tyrrhenian Sea with frequent, juicy groundswells.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

Spring and early fall act as transitional zones. In April, the Azores High begins to build, reducing storm frequency. Swell heights average 0.7m but periods (5.1s) lean toward choppy, short-range energy. Ideal wind drops to 22%. September sees a slight revival as the first autumn lows approach, with average swell 0.5m and periods 4.5s, but consistent offshore breezes become more sporadic. On the plus side, clean lined-up waves can still appear when a passing system aligns with a northerly airflow – a window of opportunity for the dedicated surfer.

Low Surf Season (May - August)

Summer sets the Mediterranean in a torpor. The Azores High dominates, squashing storm formation. Average swell height plummets to 0.4-0.5m and periods dwindle to 4.2-4.6s, yielding micro, groveling conditions. Ideal offshore wind frequency collapses to a mere 10-14%. The predominant swell direction is from W and WSW, which miss Serapo's SSW-facing orientation entirely. Onshore winds from SW and SSW often scuff the surface. During rare episodes of thermal gradients or passing troughs, a short-lived pulse of 0.5-1m swell might appear, but overall, it's board-flat or chop city. The exception: a rogue N wind day can glass off the surface, but swell remains minimal.

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Conditions at Serapo in April

April: Spring Fade

April sees a notable drop in both swell quality and wind consistency. Average swell height 0.7m, period 5.1s, ideal wind only 22%. The dominant swell direction swings further west: W (27.2%) and WSW (17.8%). These are largely short-period windswell generated by local thermal breezes. Swell from the productive SSW-SW quadrant accounts for 9.9% and 10.5% respectively, but the energy is weaker (mostly 0-0.5m). Wind patterns show a shift away from strong offshore gradients – NE winds at 7.3%, ENE at 9.3%. The lack of long-period groundswell makes for mostly groveling conditions. On the bright side, lighter winds typical of spring can occasionally allow for smooth, glassy sessions when a small SSW pulse arrives.

Average Spot conditions at Serapo in April

Swell history for April

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for April

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Serapo during April. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Serapo for your next trip in April.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Serapo for April. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Serapo.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size