Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Shark Rock Pier seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (March - May & September - November)

The heart of the Southern Ocean's fury aligns with favorable wind patterns during these shoulder months, delivering the most consistent quality at Shark Rock Pier. In autumn (March-May), the South Atlantic high pressure ridge begins to weaken, allowing strong westerly storm tracks to fire up the swell window from the SSW and SW. Meanwhile, the frequency of coastal lows brings spells of offshore breeze from the WSW and SW, cleaning up the lines. Spring (September-November) sees a similar balance: the ocean is still ramped up after winter, with long-period groundswells marching in from the southwest, and the dreaded onshore easterly trade winds are less dominant. While the average swell height hovers around 2.0–2.3m with periods of 11–12s, it's the combination of these solid swells and clean offshore winds that makes this the prime window.

Fair Surf Season (December - February & June - August)

Summer (December-February) offers the highest percentage of ideal offshore wind (28%), thanks to a persistent high pressure system that pumps southerly airflows. Swell is smaller though, averaging 1.9–2.0m and 10.7–11.0s, providing fun, rippable waves that are best suited for performance surfing when the SSW swell bumps up. On the flip side, winter (June-August) brings the Big Swell season: the Southern Ocean roars with consecutive extratropical storms, producing powerful 2.3–2.4m swells with periods of 12.2–12.5s. However, the trade-off is a spike in onshore winds from the NE to ENE, which often chops up the surface. That said, the raw power and long-period energy still draw crowds when the wind cooperates.

Low Surf Season

There isn't a true low season at Shark Rock Pier, but the months of June and July represent the most challenging period due to prevailing onshore winds from the north and northeast. Despite the massive swell in the water, the quality is frequently compromised by bumpy, wind-affected conditions. The ideal wind percentage drops to 17–19%, meaning many days are unsurfable. However, the odd cold front passage can swing the wind around to the WSW, transforming the same big swell into pumping, world-class waves for a short window.

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Conditions at Shark Rock Pier in October

October: The Magic Window

October is arguably the best month of the year. Swell averages 2.2m with a period of 11.0s, and the combination of solid SSW (20.9%) and SW (14.6%) swell with increasing easterly wind (E 16.8%) may sound concerning, but the magic lies in the transition. The South Atlantic high strengthens, and the berg wind phenomenon can produce light offshore winds from the NW in the morning. Ideal wind sits at 22%, but the frequency of clean, sunny days with long-period SW groundswell is unmatched. When those conditions align, the pier offers rippable, glassy waves that are a joy to surf.

Average Spot conditions at Shark Rock Pier in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Shark Rock Pier during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Shark Rock Pier for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Shark Rock Pier for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Shark Rock Pier.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size