Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Spessard Holland seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - March)

The winter months deliver the most consistent and quality surf at Spessard Holland. As the Atlantic storm track shifts southward, a steady procession of extratropical cyclones spins up deep low-pressure systems, firing long-period swell from the optimal NNE through E window. Combined with a higher frequency of offshore winds from the SSW-WSW quadrant, these months offer the best chance of clean, punchy waves in the fun to good size range (0.5-1.5m). November stands out with the highest average swell height (1.0m) and a period often stretching into the 8-9 second range, providing plenty of push.

Fair Surf Season (April, May, September, October)

Transitional months see a decline in both swell size and wind consistency. Spring (April-May) brings a gradual weakening of the North Atlantic storm machine, with average heights dropping to 0.7-0.8m. While occasional cold fronts can still deliver decent ENE to E swell, the percentage of offshore wind drops below 20%, making clean sessions harder to come by. Autumn (September-October) sees a resurgence: September averages 0.8m with a respectable 9.0s period, and October ramps up to 0.9m as the first autumn storms organize. However, the wind remains fickle, with ideal conditions only around 14-16% of the time. Expect mixed bag days with onshore seabreezes often ruining the afternoon session.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

The summer doldrums hit Spessard Holland hard. From June through August, the average swell height plummets to 0.5-0.6m, and periods hover around 7.6-8.1 seconds. The dominant swell direction becomes overwhelmingly east to southeast (E and ESE account for over 60% of swells), which, while in the window, often arrives with weak, windswell-like energy. More critically, the region comes under the influence of persistent high pressure, driving a relentless easterly trade wind flow that is directly onshore for this east-facing beach. Offshore wind percentages drop to 11-14%, making any rideable wave a rare treat. Expect mostly small, groveling conditions unless a tropical system or distant hurricane swell lines up – a low-probability event.

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Conditions at Spessard Holland in October

October: Size Returns, Wind Remains Tricky

October delivers the second-highest average swell height of the year at 0.9m with a period of 8.5s. Swell direction is heavily concentrated in the optimal ENE (43.2%) and E (21.5%) windows, with NE (19.9%) also significant. This is thanks to the strengthening North Atlantic storm track. Yet the wind remains the weak link: ideal conditions only 14% of the time. The onshore easterlies (NE, ENE, E) are dominant, making many days unsurfable. However, when a cold front pushes through and winds swing to the W or SW, the combination of solid ENE groundswell and offshore breeze produces firing, rippable waves. Patience and flexibility are essential – be ready to drop everything when the wind switches.

Average Spot conditions at Spessard Holland in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Spessard Holland during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Spessard Holland for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Spessard Holland for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Spessard Holland.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size