Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Stent Road seasonal overview

Stent Road in New Zealand is a consistent surf spot with year-round swell, primarily driven by ground swells, which dominate between 67-79% of the time. Wind swells contribute the rest, but there is rarely a flat day (0% no swell). The mean swell size increases from summer to winter, peaking at 2.5m from June to October, making these months ideal for larger waves. However, wind conditions are challenging, with bad winds (onshore or cross-shore) occurring 82-89% of the time year-round. The best balance of swell size and slightly improved wind conditions occurs in autumn (April-May) and late winter (August), where ground swells remain strong (76-79%) and mean swell hovers around 2.1-2.5m, though winds are still unfavorable 83-85% of the time. Summer (January-March) offers smaller swells (1.8-1.9m) and marginally better winds (13-18% good conditions), but the waves are less powerful. Overall, Stent Road is most rewarding for experienced surfers willing to tolerate tricky winds, with the biggest and cleanest opportunities likely in late autumn and early winter (May-July). For smaller but slightly more manageable conditions, February and March provide a modest window before winds deteriorate further into spring and summer.

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Conditions at Stent Road in October

October at Stent Road delivers consistent surf with an average swell height of 2.5m and a solid period of 12.3s, providing powerful, well-formed waves. The dominant swell direction is from the WSW, contributing the highest percentage of rideable waves, particularly in the 1.5-2.5m range, making it the prime direction for quality surf. WNW and NW swells also bring overhead waves but are less frequent. Cross-shore or offshore winds—ideal for surfing—occur only 11% of the time, with WSW and W winds being the most common but often too strong (20-40kph range), leading to choppy or blown-out conditions. Expect a mix of clean, powerful days when winds align favorably, but be prepared for wind-affected sessions, especially during stronger W-WSW flows. Overall, October offers solid surf with good size and energy, though wind consistency is the limiting factor.

Average Spot conditions at Stent Road in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Stent Road during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Stent Road for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Stent Road for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Stent Road.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size