Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Stent Road seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (March - August)

The heart of the winter swell window arrives in March and persists through August, delivering consistent, powerful groundswells from the W/SW quadrant. Average wave heights hold steady between 1.7 and 2.1 m with periods averaging well over 11 seconds. The SE trade wind influence remains strong during these months, providing ample offshore opportunities. This is the prime time to score Stent Road at its best – lined-up, long-period swell with clean, offshore conditions.

Fair Surf Season (February & September)

February offers the highest percentage of offshore wind (22%) but with slightly smaller average swell heights (1.5 m). September, conversely, still sees substantial swell (2.1 m) but the wind reliability drops off significantly. Both months require careful timing to catch the right combination of size and shape.

Low Surf Season (October - January)

The spring and early summer months see a dramatic decline in consistent surf quality. While October maintains overhead swell, the wind patterns become dominated by westerly quadrants, making clean conditions scarce. November through January see both swell size and period drop, with offshore wind windows becoming less frequent. Surfable days are rarer, but occasional clean, smaller days can occur under high-pressure setups.

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Conditions at Stent Road in October

October: Spring Onslaught, Low Odds

October continues with 2.1 m swells and a period of 11.9 s, but the ideal wind percentage falls to a low 13%. Swell directions shift slightly: WSW (38.1%) and W (15.4%) still dominate, but the NW (3.5%) component picks up. Winds are now predominantly onshore from the WSW (16.4%) and W (12.0%), with SE flow dropping to 6.5%. The combination of strong westerly swells and frequent onshore winds makes for challenging conditions. Most days are windy and messy, but the big swells can still deliver powerful, heavy waves for those willing to battle the chop. Look for cut-off lows that bring easterly winds.

Average Spot conditions at Stent Road in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Stent Road during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Stent Road for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Stent Road for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Stent Road.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size