Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

St Ives seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during these months, delivering the largest and most powerful swell to St Ives. Average wave heights climb above 2m and periods consistently exceed 10s, with many pulses in the 12-14s range – true groundswell generated by deep extratropical storms tracking across the ocean. The beach faces NNW, so the optimal swell from N, WNW, NW and NNW hits the coast with authority, especially when the fetch aligns. However, this is also the stormiest time of year: prevailing winds from the SW through NW dominate, often blowing directly onshore and ruining the quality. The ideal offshore sector (S, SSW, SW, WSW) is only present about 16-20% of the time. Still, when a strong high pressure ridges into the Bay of Biscay or southern England, it pulls a crisp offshore breeze over St Ives Bay, turning the raw Atlantic energy into clean, hollow, rippable waves – the kind that make this season legendary. The NAO index plays a key role: a negative phase tends to steer low-pressure systems further south, giving the region more settled windows.

Fair Surf Season (April - May & September)

Spring and early autumn bring a noticeable transition. Swell heights drop from the winter peak but remain fun-sized – averaging 1.4 to 1.6m in April/May, and around 1.4m again in September after a summer lull. Periods settle into the 9-10s range, offering punchy, rideable waves that hold their shape better on favourable tides. The percentage of ideal offshore wind improves slightly (up to 21-22% in April and September) as high pressure systems become more common. Swell direction shifts slightly more towards the west, but there are still enough N to NW pulses to light up the sandbars. These months are a gamble: you can score a clean, glassy 3-4ft day with offshore winds, or you can face small, weak, onshore slop. It’s a transition period – less consistent than winter, but with better odds of enjoyable sessions without the gale-force winds.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

Summer is the quietest time for St Ives. The North Atlantic storm track shifts north, leaving the region under a ridge of high pressure or weak low-pressure systems. Average wave heights hover around 1.2m and periods drop to 8-8.5s – mostly short-period windswell generated by local sea breezes or distant northern lows. The dominant swell direction remains west, which is not ideal for this NNW exposure, resulting in weak, closeout conditions even when waves do arrive. The percentage of offshore wind drops back to 17-18%, but even when the breeze is from the south, the lack of swell energy means small, grovelly waves at best. Occasional mid-period pulses from decaying tropical systems can offer a brief upgrade, but they are rare. If you’re desperate for a surf, dawn patrols with a westerly swell and a light southerly wind might produce some waist-high peaks. Generally, June through August is a time for other water activities – the surf is best left to the sandbar reflections and the hope of an early autumn cold front.

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Conditions at St Ives in January

January: The Deep of Winter

January is the peak of the surf season in St Ives, with the largest average swell height of the year at 2.5m and a long-period average of 11.7s. The swell direction table shows a clear dominance from the west (W at 17.7%, WSW at 12.8%, W at 17.7%), but these are not the ideal directions for this NNW-facing beach. However, a solid 6.3% comes from the favourable WNW, and another 2.6% from NW – these are the pulses that really line up with the coast. The wind patterns are challenging: the strongest totals come from WSW (10.8%), SW (10.5%), and W (9.8%), which are largely onshore or cross-onshore. The ideal offshore sector (S, SSW, SW, WSW) accounts for a combined 34.7% of wind observations, but only 16% of the time is the wind truly ideal for surfing. That means frequent stormy, blown-out days. Yet when a high-pressure ridge slips in from the south, the offshore breeze from the S or SSW cleans up the swell, turning those powerful 2m+ waves into groomed, hollow lines. Keep an eye on synoptic charts for a cold front passage followed by a vigorous high – those are the magic windows.

Average Spot conditions at St Ives in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at St Ives during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at St Ives for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at St Ives for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at St Ives.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size