Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Tallows seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (May - August)

As the Southern Hemisphere winter takes hold, the Tasman Sea becomes a cauldron of powerful mid-latitude storms. The Roaring Forties shift north, driving consistent long-period swell from the E through SSE quadrant directly into Tallows' east-southeast facing beach. Average wave periods climb to 9.5-9.6s, with a solid 1.5-1.7m of average height. More importantly, the frequency of offshore winds from the W, WNW, and NW peaks between 22% and 26%, creating the cleanest, most groomed conditions of the year. This is the window for the best quality surf.

Fair Surf Season (April & September)

The transition months of April and September offer a mixed bag. April retains a healthy average swell of 1.7m with a 9.2s period, but the percentage of ideal offshore wind drops to 17%. September sees a similar pattern with 1.5m at 8.8s and 19% ideal wind. Swell directions become more variable, and while you can score excellent waves when a strong cut-off low aligns with a westerly wind, the consistency and quality are less reliable than the peak winter months.

Low Surf Season (October - March)

From spring through summer and into early autumn, Tallows struggles. The prevailing wind regime shifts to a dominant onshore flow from the E, ESE, and SE, with the percentage of ideal offshore wind plummeting to between 10% and 15%. Average swell periods drop to the 8.2-8.9s range, producing weaker, more wind-affected waves. While the occasional pulse of long-period energy from a distant tropical cyclone can produce a brief window of clean, rideable surf, the default pattern is small, choppy, and generally poor quality. This is the time to chase other coasts or wait for a synoptic miracle.

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Conditions at Tallows in January

January: The Summer Doldrums

January marks the height of the Australian summer, and the surf at Tallows reflects this. The dominant swell direction is from the E at 26.1% and ESE at 21.9%, both of which are onshore for this east-southeast facing beach. Average swell height sits at a modest 1.5m with a mediocre period of 8.6s, meaning mostly weak, short-period waves. The wind data is unforgiving: only 11% of the time are winds offshore (from the W, WNW, NW). The majority of winds are from the N through SSE, creating constant onshore or cross-shore chop. Expect crumbly, low-quality surf with the rare clean window only when a cold front pushes through with a brief W-NW change.

Average Spot conditions at Tallows in January

Swell history for January

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for January

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Tallows during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Tallows for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Tallows for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Tallows.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size