The Point - surf spot statistics

The Point in the United States offers variable surf conditions throughout the year, with distinct seasonal patterns. The best months for consistent, rideable waves are typically from October through March, when ground swell activity peaks, and wind conditions are more favorable. During these months, ground swell averages between 24-31%, while wind swell contributes an additional 42-58%, resulting in a mean swell size of 0.7-0.9 meters. Wind conditions are most reliable in October, November, and December, with good wind days occurring 45-49% of the time, minimizing the impact of onshore or unfavorable winds. November stands out as the prime month, with a balanced mix of ground and wind swell (27% and 58% respectively), solid swell size (0.9m), and the highest likelihood of favorable winds (49%). From April onward, conditions gradually decline, with ground swell dropping significantly and wind swell becoming less dominant. Summer months (May through September) are the least consistent, with high percentages of no swell (49-74%) and poor wind conditions (71-96%). Swell size diminishes to 0.4-0.6 meters, making sessions rare and often choppy. September marks the beginning of the transition back to better surf, though conditions remain inconsistent until October. For surfers seeking quality waves at The Point, the winter and early spring months (October-March) are the optimal window, offering a higher probability of clean, sizable surf, while summer should be considered only for small, wind-dependent sessions or alternative water activities.

December at The Point offers relatively consistent surf with an average swell height of 0.9m and a decent average period of 9.9s, suggesting clean, well-spaced waves. The swell is predominantly from the north to northeast (N, NNE, NNW), contributing to 75% of waves in the 0.5–2.5m range—ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers. Smaller days (0.5–1m) occur frequently (45% NNE), while larger days (1.5–2.5m) are rarer but present (5% combined). Wind is the limiting factor, with ENE and E directions bringing strong onshore gusts (20–30kph, 28% combined), though 45% of the time, winds are favorable for surfing. Expect a mix of punchy, mid-sized waves when swells align with lighter winds, but be prepared for occasional wind-affected conditions. Overall, December delivers rideable waves regularly, with the best sessions when northerly swells meet offshore or light winds.