Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

The Point seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

Winter unleashes the real power at The Point. As the North Atlantic pump intensifies, we see the largest average swell heights (around 1.5m) paired with long-period energy (10s) dominating the spectrum. Though the dominant swell direction is from the NE and ENE – not the ideal west – these storm-forced groundswells wrap effectively around the point, delivering punchy, well-shaped lines. The wind is offshore from the east over 60% of the time, keeping the waves clean. This is the window for the best chances of pumping, firing conditions.

Fair Surf Season (April - September)

Spring and summer bring a shift toward smaller, shorter-period swell. Average heights drop to 1.1m and periods dwindle to 7-9s. The swell direction remains stubbornly from the NE and ENE, but with less energy. However, wind quality actually improves to 73-91% offshore, meaning the waves that do arrive are often glassy and fun – perfect for groveling on the low-tide days. It’s a fair trade-off: you’ll get more consistent clean conditions, but you’ll trade power for summer softness.

Low Surf Season (June - August)

High summer is the quietest period at The Point. Average swell heights hover at just 1.0m with periods rarely exceeding 7s. The swell direction is almost exclusively from the ENE (over 60% of the time), producing weak, short-period windswell that struggles to break with any authority. While the wind is overwhelmingly offshore (86-91%), the lack of size and period makes for small, micro days. You’ll be groveling for waist-high sliders – but when a rare tropical storm or extra-tropical low aligns, the summer can serve up surprising sessions.

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Conditions at The Point in October

October: Autumn’s Awakening

October is a standout transition month. Average swell height is 1.2m and period returns to 10.0s – solid for the point. Swell direction remains primarily NE (44.3%) and NNE (22.2%), with ENE (19.2%) still in the mix. Wind is ideal 83% of the time, with ENE (24.7%) and E (19.8%) providing offshore consistency. The first big winter lows start forming and occasionally send long-period swell from the west-northwest – the optimal direction – making for classic, pumping sessions. This month holds the promise of the best waves of the year.

Average Spot conditions at The Point in October

Swell history for October

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for October

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at The Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at The Point for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at The Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at The Point.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size