The Point - surf spot statistics

The Point in the United States offers variable surf conditions throughout the year, with distinct seasonal patterns. The best months for consistent, rideable waves are typically from October through March, when ground swell activity peaks, and wind conditions are more favorable. During these months, ground swell averages between 24-31%, while wind swell contributes an additional 42-58%, resulting in a mean swell size of 0.7-0.9 meters. Wind conditions are most reliable in October, November, and December, with good wind days occurring 45-49% of the time, minimizing the impact of onshore or unfavorable winds. November stands out as the prime month, with a balanced mix of ground and wind swell (27% and 58% respectively), solid swell size (0.9m), and the highest likelihood of favorable winds (49%). From April onward, conditions gradually decline, with ground swell dropping significantly and wind swell becoming less dominant. Summer months (May through September) are the least consistent, with high percentages of no swell (49-74%) and poor wind conditions (71-96%). Swell size diminishes to 0.4-0.6 meters, making sessions rare and often choppy. September marks the beginning of the transition back to better surf, though conditions remain inconsistent until October. For surfers seeking quality waves at The Point, the winter and early spring months (October-March) are the optimal window, offering a higher probability of clean, sizable surf, while summer should be considered only for small, wind-dependent sessions or alternative water activities.

March at The Point offers surfable conditions, though with some variability. The average swell height is 0.9m with a decent period of 9.9s, indicating consistent, though not overly powerful, waves. The dominant swell directions are from the NNE and NNW, which produce the most rideable waves, particularly in the 0.5-1.5m range—ideal for intermediate surfers. Larger swells (1.5-2.5m) are less frequent but do occur, mostly from these same directions, providing occasional punchier sessions. Wind conditions are favorable 43% of the time, with the best scenario being light to moderate offshore or cross-offshore winds from the W or NW. However, ENE and E winds (often 10-30kph) can create chop, especially in the afternoons. Overall, March delivers a mix of manageable waves and occasional clean conditions, making it a decent but not exceptional month for surfing here.