The Point - surf spot statistics

The Point in the United States offers variable surf conditions throughout the year, with distinct seasonal patterns. The best months for consistent, rideable waves are typically from October through March, when ground swell activity peaks, and wind conditions are more favorable. During these months, ground swell averages between 24-31%, while wind swell contributes an additional 42-58%, resulting in a mean swell size of 0.7-0.9 meters. Wind conditions are most reliable in October, November, and December, with good wind days occurring 45-49% of the time, minimizing the impact of onshore or unfavorable winds. November stands out as the prime month, with a balanced mix of ground and wind swell (27% and 58% respectively), solid swell size (0.9m), and the highest likelihood of favorable winds (49%). From April onward, conditions gradually decline, with ground swell dropping significantly and wind swell becoming less dominant. Summer months (May through September) are the least consistent, with high percentages of no swell (49-74%) and poor wind conditions (71-96%). Swell size diminishes to 0.4-0.6 meters, making sessions rare and often choppy. September marks the beginning of the transition back to better surf, though conditions remain inconsistent until October. For surfers seeking quality waves at The Point, the winter and early spring months (October-March) are the optimal window, offering a higher probability of clean, sizable surf, while summer should be considered only for small, wind-dependent sessions or alternative water activities.

In May, The Point offers relatively small but rideable surf with an average swell height of 0.6m and a decent period of 8.8s, suggesting clean, organized waves. The swell direction is predominantly from the north, northeast, and north-northwest, with the majority of waves falling in the 0-1.5m range—ideal for intermediate surfers. Larger swells (1.5-2m) are rare but possible from NNW. Wind conditions are favorable 29% of the time, with light to moderate speeds (0-20kph) coming mostly from the east and southeast, which can work well with the swell direction. However, stronger easterly winds (20-30kph) occur frequently, potentially causing choppy conditions. Overall, May provides consistent, smaller waves best suited for performance surfing when winds align.