The Point - surf spot statistics

The Point in the United States offers variable surf conditions throughout the year, with distinct seasonal patterns. The best months for consistent, rideable waves are typically from October through March, when ground swell activity peaks, and wind conditions are more favorable. During these months, ground swell averages between 24-31%, while wind swell contributes an additional 42-58%, resulting in a mean swell size of 0.7-0.9 meters. Wind conditions are most reliable in October, November, and December, with good wind days occurring 45-49% of the time, minimizing the impact of onshore or unfavorable winds. November stands out as the prime month, with a balanced mix of ground and wind swell (27% and 58% respectively), solid swell size (0.9m), and the highest likelihood of favorable winds (49%). From April onward, conditions gradually decline, with ground swell dropping significantly and wind swell becoming less dominant. Summer months (May through September) are the least consistent, with high percentages of no swell (49-74%) and poor wind conditions (71-96%). Swell size diminishes to 0.4-0.6 meters, making sessions rare and often choppy. September marks the beginning of the transition back to better surf, though conditions remain inconsistent until October. For surfers seeking quality waves at The Point, the winter and early spring months (October-March) are the optimal window, offering a higher probability of clean, sizable surf, while summer should be considered only for small, wind-dependent sessions or alternative water activities.

September at The Point offers mixed but occasionally surfable conditions. The average swell height is 0.6m with a decent period of 9.1s, suggesting some small but clean waves when conditions align. The most consistent swell direction is NNE, contributing to 16.33% of waves in the 0.5-1m range and 2.74% in the 1-1.5m range, making it the primary source for rideable surf. NW and NNW swells also provide occasional larger waves (up to 2.5m), though these are infrequent (0.39% and 0.01% respectively). Wind conditions are often a limiting factor—only 26% of the time is wind ideal for surfing, with ENE and E winds (10-30kph) being the most frequent, potentially creating choppy or cross-shore conditions. Light offshore winds occur rarely, mostly from the NW or NNW. While larger swells are uncommon, patient surfers can find clean, small to mid-sized waves, particularly when NNE swells coincide with lighter winds. Expect mostly knee-high surf with occasional chest-high sets, best suited for longboarders or those comfortable in softer waves.