Surf forecastStatisticsHistorical report

Tifnit seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (November - February)

The North Atlantic winter machine hits its stride during these months, delivering a consistent barrage of powerful, long-period groundswells to Tifnit's west-facing shores. With average wave heights hovering around 2 meters and periods pushing well into the 12-13 second range, the playground is primed. The key ingredient is the favorable wind regime: offshore flow from the east and southeast (E, ESE, SE) becomes more frequent as high pressure builds over the continent. This combination of solid NW and NNW swell with clean offshore winds creates the most reliable and high-quality surf of the year. November through February are the months to plan a trip for.

Fair Surf Season (March, April, and October)

As the seasons transition, the surf becomes more of a gamble. March still holds onto winter's swell size but sees the offshore wind window begin to shrink. April brings a noticeable drop in average wave period and a sharp decline in ideal wind days. October, on the other hand, is the shoulder month where the Atlantic begins to reawaken after summer's slumber; early season lows start to spin up, and while the wind consistency isn't yet perfect, the potential for a clean, good-sized day is real. Patience and a flexible schedule are the keys during these months.

Low Surf Season (May - September)

Summer takes a firm grip on the Moroccan coastline from May through September. The trade wind regime kicks in, with strong, persistent northwesterly winds (NW, WNW) blowing directly onshore and ruining the wave quality for much of the time. The swell mix consists almost entirely of short-period, local windswell generated by these same trades, resulting in average wave heights of 1.5 meters or less and periods barely cracking 10 seconds. Ideal offshore wind days are extremely rare – often less than 10% of the time. While there may be occasional small, choppy waves for groveling, this is definitively the off-season for quality surf at Tifnit.

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Conditions at Tifnit in March

March: Transitioning Strength

March marks a turning point as the Atlantic storm tracks begin to shift northward. The average swell height remains a solid 2.1m, but the period drops slightly to 12.3 seconds, indicating a mix of longer-period groundswell and more intermediate energy. The NW (31.3%) and NNW (35.2%) still dominate, but the wind patterns are shifting. Ideal offshore wind frequency falls to 29% as the trade winds strengthen. The E and ESE wind contributions (9.0% and 4.7% respectively) decrease, while onshore NW (20.7%) and NNW (13.7%) winds become more common. Surfable days are still frequent, but the quality is now more dependent on catching a short window of clean offshore flow between passing fronts. Not as consistent as mid-winter, but still very surfable.

Average Spot conditions at Tifnit in March

Swell history for March

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for March

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Tifnit during March. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Tifnit for your next trip in March.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Tifnit for March. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Tifnit.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size