Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Tolcarne seasonal overview

Best Surf Season (October - March)

The North Atlantic roars to life during the autumn months, and Tolcarne sees a dramatic uptick in both swell size and quality from October through March. Average swell heights push above 1.6m, often topping 2m in the deep winter, with long-period energy (10-12s) becoming the norm. This is the prime window when powerful extratropical storms track east across the Atlantic, generating fetch that lines up perfectly with Cornwall's NW corridor. While the dominant W and WSW swells still reach this north-facing nook, the real magic happens when the fetch aligns with the optimal NW to N window – those are the days when Tolcarne pumps with hollow, lined-up waves. Offshore winds from the S-SSW quadrant are most reliable during this period, with ideal wind frequencies hovering around 22-26%. Combined with the long-period groundswells, this is the time to score consistent, fun-to-pumping surf, though be ready for crowds on the standout days.

Fair Surf Season (April - June)

As spring progresses, the Atlantic storm track weakens and shifts north, bringing a noticeable drop in both swell height and period. From April through June, average waves settle into the 1.2-1.3m range with periods of 8-10s, offering fun-sized, groveling conditions rather than the winter's power. The ideal wind window (S-SSW) remains reasonably active at 20-25% occurrence, providing clean, glassy mornings. However, the increasing frequency of westerly winds can often switch onshore, especially when high pressure builds to the south. This season is best suited for smaller boards and a patient approach – the occasional late-season storm can still deliver a longer-period pulse, rewarding those who keep an eye on the charts.

Low Surf Season (July - September)

The heart of the Cornish summer sees Tolcarne at its most mellow. From July to September, average swell heights bottom out at 1.0-1.3m, with periods rarely exceeding 9s. The dominant swell direction swings firmly to the west, often delivering short-period, windswell-like waves that struggle to wrap effectively into the north-facing bay. To compound matters, the prevailing wind pattern becomes problematic – frequent NW-N winds blow directly onshore, ruining the wave quality. Ideal offshore wind percentages drop to their annual lows (19-20%), making clean sessions a rarity. While the chance of a distant tropical storm or early-season hurricane sending a long-period pulse exists, these events are few and far between. This is the time for longboards, soft-tops, or simply enjoying the beach – the real energy is just a few months away.

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Conditions at Tolcarne in February

February: Consistent Winter Grind

February mirrors January closely, with an average swell height of 2.1m and period of 12.1s. The W swell window dominates again (36.6%), while optimal NW-N directions account for just under 18%. The wind pattern is similar, with ideal offshore winds (S-SSW) around 23% of the time. The NAO index often keeps the storm track active, delivering consistent, powerful swell. While not as pristine as a true NW swell, the persistent WSW and W energy still wrap into Tolcarne, offering solid, punchy waves. The key is timing the wind – morning offshore breezes are common before afternoon sea breezes or frontal shifts. When the wind aligns with a NW swell, expect firing waves up to the 2.5m pumping range.

Average Spot conditions at Tolcarne in February

Swell history for February

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for February

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Tolcarne during February. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Tolcarne for your next trip in February.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Tolcarne for February. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Tolcarne.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size