Surf forecastSpot statisticsHistorical report

Vairao seasonal overview

Vairao, Tahiti, offers consistent surf year-round, with a strong dominance of ground swell making up the majority of swell energy in all months, peaking at 89% in March and remaining above 75% even in the least favorable months. The mean swell size is most powerful from May to September, averaging 2.1-2.2 meters, providing solid overhead conditions ideal for experienced surfers. Wind conditions are most favorable from February to April, with good wind probability at around 50-54%, making this stretch the best window for clean surf. March stands out as the optimal month, combining high ground swell consistency (89%), decent swell size (1.7m), and the year’s highest likelihood of favorable winds (54%). The second half of the year, particularly June to September, brings larger swells but suffers from increased onshore wind interference, dropping good wind probabilities below 45% in peak swell season. Despite bigger waves, wind reliability decreases, making late-season sessions more hit-or-miss. For a balance of size, swell consistency, and cleaner conditions, late southern hemisphere summer (February-April) is the prime time for Vairao. Early season (January) and late season (October-December) see slightly smaller waves (1.6-1.9m) and mixed wind conditions, but still deliver surfable days with fewer crowds. December is the least consistent, with higher wind swell influence (25%) and weaker ground swell dominance (75%). While Vairao is rarely flat (0% "no swell" days year-round), wind management is key—target the March-April sweet spot for the highest chance of epic sessions.

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Conditions at Vairao in November

In November, Vairao, Tahiti, offers surfers solid conditions with an average swell height of 1.7m and a favorable period of 12.5s, indicating well-formed, powerful waves. The dominant swell direction is from the SSW to SW sector, which provides the best wave quality, with SSW swells contributing significantly to heights between 1.5-2.5m—ideal for intermediate to advanced surfers. Smaller but rideable waves (1-1.5m) also frequently come from the SSE and S directions. Wind conditions are workable, with offshore or light cross-shore winds occurring 49% of the time, predominantly from the E to ESE sectors at 10-20kph, ensuring clean faces. However, stronger onshore winds can occasionally disrupt conditions, particularly from the NE to E at 20-30kph. Overall, November delivers consistent, mid-sized waves with decent shape, making it a reliable month for surfing, though wind variability requires some patience for optimal sessions.

Average Spot conditions at Vairao in November

Swell history for November

0 - 0.5
0.5 - 1
1 - 1.5
1.5 - 2.0
2.0 - 2.5
> 2.5 m

Wind history for November

0 - 10
10 - 20
20 - 30
30 - 40
40 - 50
> 50 km/h

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Vairao during November. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Vairao for your next trip in November.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Vairao for November. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Vairao.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size