Yumuri seasonal overview
Best Surf Season (December - March)
While Yumuri faces north, the dominant swell throughout the year arrives from the ENE, which rarely produces quality waves for this coastline. The best chance for rideable surf comes during the winter months when slightly larger groundswell (1-1.5m+) sneaks in from the ENE and occasional short-period N-NNW swell (though very infrequent) can wrap into the beach. More importantly, winter cold fronts can swing winds to the south (SO, S, SSW), creating clean, offshore conditions that groom the prevailing ENE swell into a more organized wave. Still, the average period hovers around 6s, keeping the surf chopped and lacking power. This is a window of opportunity rather than a guarantee.
Fair Surf Season (April - May, October - November)
During the transitional months, the trade wind regime strengthens and the swell from ENE dominates even more, but wind directions become more variable. April and May see an increase in ideal wind percentages (8-10%), but swell heights drop to 0.8-0.9m and periods remain short (6s). October and November see a slight uptick in swell size as the Atlantic starts to wake up, but the wind is often from the east or northeast, creating onshore/choppy conditions. These months offer occasional fun-sized waves when a southerly breeze aligns with a pulse of ENE swell.
Low Surf Season (June - September)
Summer brings the smallest surf of the year, with average heights dipping to 0.7-0.9m and periods stuck at 6s. The swell is almost exclusively from the ENE (over 80% of the total), which is far from optimal for a north-facing beach. Additionally, the trade winds blow consistently from the east and northeast, creating bumpy, onshore conditions that ruin wave shape. The percentage of ideal offshore wind is very low (7-11% in summer, but those winds are typically light and from the south, which are rare). This is the time to find a different break or enjoy flat spells.
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Conditions at Yumuri in October
October: The Atlantic Stirs, But Trade Winds Rule
October sees a jump in average height to 0.7m (same as September) but period steady at 6.4s. ENE swell makes up 60% of the total, with NE rising to 14%. Wind patterns are shifting toward winter: ENE decreases to 32%, NE to 20%, and N winds grow to 4%. Ideal wind stays at 9%. The North Atlantic is now active, sending longer-period swell across the basin, but Yumuri's north-facing orientation means it only catches the scraps. Most of the energy is from the east, not the north. However, occasional cold fronts can swing winds to the south for a day or two, cleaning up the short-period trade swell. The odds of a good session improve marginally, but quality remains spotty.
Average Spot conditions at Yumuri in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Yumuri during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Yumuri for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Yumuri for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Yumuri.
