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Watergate Bay • Statistics for May

Conditions at Watergate Bay in May

May: Late Spring Lull

May settles into a classic late spring lull. Average swell height drops to 4ft (1.2m) and average period falls to 9.3s, meaning the ocean is shifting from winter groundswell to more locally generated swell. W direction is still the backbone at 36.4%, with WNW at 17.1% and WSW at 14.5%, so the exposure continues to pick up the available Atlantic energy. The height distribution is concentrated between 2-5ft (0.5-1.5m), which is firmly in the small, fun-sized category. Ideal wind occurs 25% of the time, and with more sun and weaker pressure gradients, those windows are often easier to find. Water temp climbs to 11.9°C, air temp averages 12.0°C, and precipitation is at the seasonal low of 2.16mm/day. It may not be big, but May can deliver playful, rippable peaks on an offshore breeze.

Average Spot conditions at Watergate Bay in May

Swell history for May

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for May

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Watergate Bay during May. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Watergate Bay for your next trip in May.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Watergate Bay for May. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Watergate Bay.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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