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Canoes • Statistics for October

Conditions at Canoes in October

October: The Sweet Spot

October is, on paper, the finest month for Canoes. The average swell height ticks back up to 5ft (1.5m) and the period firms to 11.5s, but the key stats are in the cross-sections. The southeast-to-south window is now rich: ESE at 11.0%, SE at 7.6%, SSE at 5.9%, S at 3.7%, SSW at 2.1%, SW at 1.7% and WSW at 2.0% - with the optimal S/SSW/SW/WSW combo reaching 9.5%, the best of the year. Meanwhile, the first pulses of north Pacific energy start to appear (NW 3.5%, NNW 4.1%, WNW 2.5%), giving Canoes the rare and glorious combination of long-period wrap-around and true south swell. On the wind side, northeasterlies dominate (NE 11.3%, ENE 59.5%) and ideal conditions reach 22% - the dawn patrol crowd knows the drill. With air temps at 25.8°C, water still a warm 26.7°C, and precipitation at 1.83 mm/day, October is when the stars align: solid, clean, glassy waves and no wetsuit needed.

Average Spot conditions at Canoes in October

Swell history for October

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for October

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Canoes during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Canoes for your next trip in October.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Canoes for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Canoes.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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