Conditions at El Porto in October
October: The Fall Season Turnaround Begins
October is the gateway to autumn surf. The average swell height eases to 2-3ft (0.7m), but the average period jumps to 12.9s, the longest of the year. Directionally, WSW at 38.8% and SW at 34.9% still dominate, but the W component grows to 16.4% and begins carrying more consequential swell: W swells put 5.5% of observations into the 3-5ft (1-1.5m) range and about 1% into the 5-8ft (1.5-2.5m) range. The combination of long period, increasing westerly energy, and still-warm water makes October a promising month for clean, lined-up waves.
Ideal wind rises to 39%, the best since spring. The wind rose still shows a strong WSW/SW sea breeze, but NE/NNE offshore winds become more common in the wake of autumn high-pressure systems. Air temperatures are mild at 19.4°C, water temperatures remain warm at 17.3°C, and precipitation begins to creep up again at 0.50mm/day. As the North Pacific begins to wake up, the rewards for checking the daily forecast grow quickly.
Average Spot conditions at El Porto in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at El Porto during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at El Porto for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at El Porto for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at El Porto.