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Middles • Statistics for January

Conditions at Middles in January

January: Winter Power With a Trade-Wind Tax

January is the heart of the surf season at Middles. The average swell height sits at 1.9m (6.2ft) with a period of 9.8s, and the 1.5-2.5m (5-8ft) class is very well represented. The direction mix is much healthier than summer: ENE leads at 40%, but NE (23.6%), NNE (12.4%), NNW (4.1%), and N (3.5%) combine for over 43% of the total, giving the break a decent north component. The problem is the wind. The trades still blow from ENE (37.7%) and E (32.5%), which are not favorable for the north-facing beach. When a front swings the wind into the SSW/SW quadrant, it becomes game on; ideal wind only reaches 18%. Air temperatures hover around 25.0°C, water temp is 26.6°C, and rainfall is manageable at 2.08 mm/day.

Average Spot conditions at Middles in January

Swell history for January

0 - 2
2 - 3
3 - 5
5 - 6
6 - 8
> 8 ft

Wind history for January

0 - 6.2
6.3 - 12.4
12.4 - 18.6
18.6 - 24.9
24.9 - 31.1
> 31.1 mph

Swell quality

Analyze the groundswell consistency at Middles during January. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Middles for your next trip in January.

Ground swell

Ground swell by size

Wind conditions

Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Middles for January. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Middles.

Swell with good wind

Swell with good wind by size

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