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Conditions at Shoals Point in October
October: First Big Storms of the Season
October brings a serious ramp-up in energy at Shoals Point. Average swell height climbs to 8ft (2.5m) and period lengthens to 10.4s, as the first powerful extratropical cyclones of the season march across the North Atlantic. WSW and SW swells dominate at 37% combined, while E through SSE swell becomes slightly more present at around 3%. The downside is wind: ideal offshore W-NW flow drops back to 20%, while onshore E/ESE/SE/SSE winds dominate at 39%. Early-season nor'easters and fast-moving cold fronts cause wave heights to jump quickly, sometimes doubling in a matter of hours. Precipitation is high at 10.07 mm/day, average air temps cool to 8.0°C, and water temperature remains rideable at 10.7°C. October is the first month of the season where patience can be rewarded with serious, firing surf.
Average Spot conditions at Shoals Point in October
Swell history for October
Wind history for October
Swell quality
Analyze the groundswell consistency at Shoals Point during October. Based on historical data, there is a % probability of groundswell occurring this month. The chart below provides a detailed breakdown of the average wave height distribution, offering deep insights into the swell quality and surf potential you can expect at Shoals Point for your next trip in October.
Ground swell
Ground swell by size
Wind conditions
Evaluate the wind and swell alignment at Shoals Point for October. Our analysis shows that favorable offshore or side-shore winds coincide with surfable swell approximately % of the time. The accompanying graph illustrates the average size distribution of waves during these optimal wind windows at Shoals Point.